889
FXUS61 KCLE 281801
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
201 PM EDT Fri Aug 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Confidence increasing in precipitation chances returning to the
area as early as Sunday night with a less amplified upper ridge
into the Great Lakes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure builds across the region this weekend with
warming temperatures.

2) Unsettled weather pattern across the Great Lakes may bring
periodic shower and thunderstorm chances to the local area next
week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Aside from an isolated lake enhanced shower or two early this
morning, mainly dry conditions expected today through Sunday as
high pressure builds across the region. Warming temperatures
expected through the weekend although moisture return will be a
bit delayed, with humidity ramping up by early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
Models have trended towards a less amplified ridge across the
Great Lakes Sunday night, with the potential for upstream
convection/MCS activity through the Great Lakes impacting far
northeast Ohio and northwest PA. The ridge may amplify a bit
Monday into Tuesday over the area providing dry conditions,
however an active zonal flow regime through the Great Lakes may
end up shifting a bit further south impacting the local area.
Higher confidence in shower/thunderstorm chances by mid to late
week across the area as a cold front settles south into the area
and the mid/upper flow becomes northwest.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Friday THROUGH Wednesday/...
Skies will continue to clear from north to south this
afternoon with high pressure strengthening overhead today.
Scattered high level clouds will spread in from the west late
tonight. Low levels are trending dryer, but can not rule out a
one or two hour window of MVFR visibilities at YNG or CAK between
10-12Z Sat in patchy mist. Northeast winds of 7-12 knots this
afternoon will decrease tonight and veer to south/southwesterly
on Saturday morning. Isolated gusts of 15-20 knots are possible
this afternoon before 21Z

Outlook...Mainly VFR, but with patchy non-VFR possible in
fog/mist early in the mornings on Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.MARINE...
Northeasterly winds of 5-10 knots will decrease overnight and
veer to southerly. A stretch of good marine conditions is
expected through Monday with winds of generally 10 knots or
less. Southwesterly winds will increase into the 10-15 knot
range Tuesday and Wednesday. There is a low end threat of
thunderstorms beginning Sunday night and peaking on Wednesday.
Thunderstorms can result in erratic wind and wave conditions.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...03
AVIATION...10
MARINE...10