Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
200 WTPA34 PHFO 052042 TCPCP4 BULLETIN Hurricane Lowell Advisory Number 39 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP122026 Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM HST Sat Sep 05 2026 ...LOWELL TURNING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST... ...WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR KAUAI COUNTY AND PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 163.1W ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM SSW OF LIHUE HAWAII ABOUT 640 MI...1025 KM SSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of Lowell. Watches will likely be required for Kauai County and portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument later today. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lowell was located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 163.1 West. Lowell is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected by this evening, followed by a northward to north-northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed on Sunday and Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Lowell will move across portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument, just to the west of the main Hawaiian Islands, Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Lowell is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next day or so, followed by a gradual weakening trend on Sunday and Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Lowell can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP4 and WMO header WTPA44 PHFO. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in Kauai County by late Monday or Monday night. Hurricane conditions are possible in eastern portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument Monday night, with tropical storm conditions beginning by late Monday. RAINFALL: Hurricane Lowell is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with maximum totals exceeding 10 inches possible, for Kauai and the Big Island. For Maui, 2 to 4 inches of rain are expected, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible. Across the remaining islands, rainfall of 1 to 2 inches with maximum amounts of 4 inches is possible. This rainfall may produce locally significant flash flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Hurricane Lowell, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep12.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Kauai County...1-3 ft Oahu...Up to 1 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp4.shtml?peakSurge. SURF: Swells from Lowell are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions during the next several days across many of the Hawaiian islands. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Berg