Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
192 FXUS64 KCRP 031122 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 522 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 522 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 - Cold front today will bring a medium to high chance of showers and thunderstorms. - Cooler temperatures expected into the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1208 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 A cold front moves through the area today, increasing rain chances into the morning hours with the best chance into the early afternoon as the front approaches. Thunderstorms are possible for most of the CWA following the front as it makes its way down through South Texas. The highest chance for showers and thunderstorms will be confined more towards the north and northeast across the Victoria crossroads(60-70%) with low to medium chances expected across the Coastal Plains and inner Brush Country(30-50%). Not too much of a temperature cooldown as this front is mainly more Pacific in nature. But nonetheless, we can expect cooler weather and lower humidity with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s into Wednesday. Unfortunately, those somewhat cooler temperatures increase Thursday as winds return to the southeast bringing moisture back into the area, and highs into the low to mid 80`s. Looking at high PWAT values (1.5-1.9 inches) across the region Thursday, rain chances could be slightly elevated for the Coastal Bend and neighboring Brush Country counties. Guidance is hinting at a Pacific low making its way into the area next weekend. This could bring in a stronger front than the one the CWA will experience today, but confidence ultimately remains low for the time being. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 522 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 Some brief MVFR to LIFR conditions are probable until right around sunrise. Afterwich, a cold front moving southward across the region will increase rainfall/thunderstorm chances through the afternoon and early evening hours. Tonight, generally expecting dry conditions and clearing skies to result in VFR conditions through the end of this TAF period. && .MARINE... Issued at 1208 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breeze turns north and increases to a moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) breeze due to the cold front. Periods of small craft advisory conditons are possible but confidence remains low. There is a medium to high chance for showers and thunderstorms today and tonight. Onshore flow returns Thursday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1208 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026 Low-level moisture and light winds will continue to limit fire weather concerns. Showers and thunderstorms are expected today as a cold front moves across the area. Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 85 61 78 64 / 50 20 0 10 Victoria 79 56 76 57 / 60 0 0 0 Laredo 83 60 81 64 / 30 0 0 0 Alice 83 59 80 61 / 40 10 0 0 Rockport 81 63 78 67 / 70 10 0 0 Cotulla 82 57 80 60 / 40 0 0 0 Kingsville 85 61 80 62 / 40 20 0 10 Navy Corpus 82 67 76 71 / 70 30 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...LS/77...AP AVIATION...BF/80