Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
313 FNUS28 KWNS 012138 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0436 PM CDT Sat Nov 01 2025 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Weak ridging and quasi-zonal flow will dominate much of the western and central US through mid-week. Stronger westerly flow will develop over the West and impinge on the Rockies and southern High Plains by late in the week. A compact upper low will exit the Southeast by Day 4/Tuesday, while strong flow aloft and general upper-level troughing are expected over the Great Lakes and Northeast through Day 5/Wednesday. ...High Plains... Dry/breezy southerly winds are likely on portions of the southern High Plains on Day 3/Monday with winds turning more westerly on Day 4/Tuesday as lee troughing develops amid modest downslope flow. Dry/breezy conditions are also likely in portions of southeast Wyoming into western Nebraska and northeast Colorado on Day 4/Tuesday. If forecast guidance continues to trend towards drier/breezier conditions, 40% areas may be needed on Day 4/Tuesday. Stronger winds aloft arrive by Day 6/Thursday leading to stronger downslope flow and deeper lee troughing on portions of the High Plains. The 40% probability area was expanded on the southern High Plains and additional areas on the central/northern High Plains may be necessary, especially if confidence increases in lower forecast RH values. ...Southeast/Mid-Atlantic... Dry and potentially breezy conditions are expected in portions of the Southeast into the Mid-Atlantic on Day 4/Tuesday - Day 5/Wednesday. Some of these areas have received recent precipitation, but southern Georgia into North Florida and southeast Alabama have received less. Additionally, portions of the Carolinas into the DelMarVa have longer-term dryness even with recent rainfall. The lack of overlap of stronger winds and lower RH preclude introducing areas at this time. ..Nauslar.. 11/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$