Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 212108
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0307 PM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

Valid 231200Z - 291200Z

...Synopsis...
Limited fire weather concerns are expected across the contiguous
U.S. for the Day 3-8/Sunday-Friday forecast period. An eastward
moving upper-level trough across the Southwest on Day 3/Sunday along
with nascent surface cyclogenesis across the Central Plains should
usher in deeper Gulf moisture from the south, promoting another
widespread precipitation event across much of the southern/central
Plains through Day 4/Monday. The surface cyclone moves into the
Great Lakes/Upper Midwest by midweek, with a trailing cold front and
associated precipitation band affecting much of the eastern U.S.
through Day 6/Wednesday. Dry, post-frontal flow across the Southeast
on Day 7/Thursday could present elevated fire weather concerns
across southern GA/northern FL where drought and patches of dry
fuels remain, although some preceding rainfall on Day 6/Wednesday
would limit a broader threat.

Dry conditions reemerge across CA and much of the Southwest next
week as mid-level riding amplifies into the West. A broad surface
high pressure evolving across the Intermountain West will promote an
increasing offshore pressure gradient across central/southern CA
through much of the week. However, recent widespread rainfall and
unreceptive fuels should limit fire weather concerns across southern
CA next week.

..Williams.. 11/21/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$