312
FNUS28 KWNS 042135
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0332 PM CST Wed Nov 04 2026

Valid 061200Z - 121200Z

...Synopsis...
Upper-level ridging will build in over much of the western U.S. on
Day 3/Friday, transitioning temperatures from below/near-normal to
above normal starting this weekend. Consensus of the latest forecast
guidance is that this ridge, while not particularly strong, will
persist through the middle of next week. A cold front will exit the
Eastern Seaboard on Day 3/Friday as an upper low strengthens over
the Great Lakes, bringing a final swath of rainfall from the
Carolinas into Chesapeake Bay. Behind the front, high pressure will
rebuild across the eastern CONUS, maintaining dry conditions and
cooler temperatures through the weekend.

...Southern California...
An upper-level low will emerge over Baja CA on Day 3/Friday,
stalling over the region through early next week. This will support
easterly flow and result in weak to moderately strong Santa Ana
surface winds on Days 3-4/Friday-Saturday. Peak northwest to
northeast winds of 15-25 mph (maximum gusts up to 35 mph) and
minimum RH near 15% are possible in terrain-favored areas. Gusty
winds may linger into Day 5/Sunday, though current guidance suggests
the tightened surface pressure gradient should begin to relax as the
upper low weakens. Even with drying conditions present as this
system transits the region, recent rainfall accumulation and
increased live fuel moisture are expected to limit a broader
significant fire weather threat. However, in spotty areas that have
not received as much recent rainfall, a locally elevated to possibly
critical fire weather threat may evolve (especially in the
wind-prone areas of L.A./Ventura counties).

..Elizalde-Garcia.. 11/04/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$