Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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067
FXUS63 KDDC 312215
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
515 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near normal temperatures and dry conditions over the weekend

- Becoming hot again through much of next week

- Mainly a dry forecast with only isolated storm chances in the
  west

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

The gusty northerly winds will decrease in magnitude after 7 pm tonight.
A light northerly wind is expected through the overnight hours and
then again tomorrow. The northerly winds will advect drier air
across the FA over the weekend with lower dewpoints. This will
be good news, as humidity levels will be lower Saturday and
Sunday. Highs will be close to near normal values with highs
peaking in the lower to mid 90s. Lows both mornings will be
mainly in the 60s Saturday evening and then a mix of 60s to 70s
Sunday morning. No storms are expected both days.

A 500 hPa anticyclone will move from the SW US to over the greater
region through next week. This will support the notion of a mainly
dry forecast and hot highs. Highs will trend warmer each day. Upper
90s to low 100s are likely for much of the next business week. Lows
will be warm with more 70s rather than 60s as each morning progresses.
The NBM has very low slight pops out west Tuesday evening. A look
at the global models and their ensemble counterparts do not support
these storms chances much. Much of the ensembles are dry for next
week. With such a strong anticyclone over the FA, it would make more
sense not to see any storms than to see them.

Looking beyond next week, the ensembles continue to paint the picture
of a prevailing mid level ridge across the Great Plains. This would
suggest a dry and hot forecast with temperatures trending to be
above normal as we head into the middle portion of August.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 515 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

VFR flying conditions this TAF cycle for all terminals. Current
breezy northerly winds will weaken to light and variable
overnight before restrengthening to 10-13 kts by mid-morning to
early afternoon Saturday.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Springer