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445
FXUS63 KDDC 201824
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
124 PM CDT Tue Apr 20 2021

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 122 PM CDT Tue Apr 20 2021

High pressure will be the dominate feature over western Kansas
through tomorrow as its ridge axis slides from eastern Colorado
tonight and through southwest Kansas tomorrow. In addition, lee
troughing will develop across eastern colorado. This will create
northerly winds tonight, shifting to the east to southeast by
tomorrow evening. A few sprinkles will be possible across central
Kansas late this afternoon, otherwise expect a slight increase in
cloudiness across this area. Skies will be mostly clear this
evening with an increase in cloudiness across far western Kansas
after midnight. These clouds will expand across the remainder of
the CWA tomorrow as moisture and lift increases due to upslope
flow. As of now, no precipitation is expected. Lows tonight look
to range form the low 20s across west central Kansas to upper 20s
across south central Kansas. Highs tomorrow are expected to reach
to around 50 degrees or lower 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 122 PM CDT Tue Apr 20 2021

A series of weak disturbances will move thorough the area
Thursday and again Thursday night into Friday bringing a slight
chance of precipitation to central Kansas. Otherwise expect an
increase in cloudiness. A few strong storms will be possible
across south central Kansas late friday afternoon into Friday
evening with the main concern down into Oklahoma. A ridge builds
over the western United States and slides across the Plains this
weekend. Models are then suggesting a stronger system to move
into the Plains mid week. But confidence is low on the track and
timing of this system and will need to be monitored closely during
future model runs. As for temperatures, highs look to reach into
the 50s east to mid 60s west Thursday with 60s to around 70
degrees Friday and Saturday. Upper 70s into the 80s will be
possible Sunday into the early part of next week. Lows look to dip
into the 30s Thursday and Friday morning with 40s then expected
this weekend. &&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1148 AM CDT Tue Apr 20 2021

VFR conditions will prevail with a few mid level clouds. Winds
will generally be from a northerly direction as high pressure
moves over the area.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  45  26  52  34 /  30   0  10  20
GCK  45  26  50  32 /  20   0  10  20
EHA  45  27  55  32 /  10  10   0  10
LBL  47  26  54  32 /  20   0   0  20
HYS  46  24  52  32 /  20  20   0  20
P28  49  29  56  36 /  40   0  10  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning from 1 AM CDT /midnight MDT/ to 10 AM CDT /9 AM
MDT/ Wednesday for KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42