Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
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723 FXUS63 KDDC 082005 AFDDDC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 205 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry pattern continues through end of the week. - Unseasonably warm temperatures Tuesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 201 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 WV imagery indicates a northwesterly flow aloft prevailing across the Western High Plains. Near the surface, a weak lee side trough of low pressure remains anchored in eastern Colorado. Dry conditions will continue early in the period as the SREF shows a fairly stagnant northwesterly aloft pattern persisting through the end of the week. With prevailing westerly downsloping in the lower levels reinforcing a much drier air mass, precip chances will remain absent across southwest/central Kansas through the end of the week. Temperatures are not expected to be quite as cold tonight with prevailing west-southwest downsloping slowly eroding the colder air mass across the high plains of western Kansas. With the HREF indicating a widespread 60-80% probability of temperatures dropping below 35F, expect lows generally in the lower/mid 30s(F) with a few upper 20s(F) in lower lying areas, especially in extreme southwest Kansas. Warming trend continues Tuesday with unseasonably warm temperatures likely as prevailing downsloping helps draw warmer into the area, pushing H85 temperatures well above 10C in central Kansas to near 15C out near the Colorado line. Expect afternoon highs up into the mid/upper 60s(F) across central and much of southwest Kansas with the lower 70s(F) not out of the question in extreme southwest Kansas with plenty of sun. More seasonal temperatures return Wednesday as colder air surges southward into western Kansas in wake of a cold frontal passage Tuesday night. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1027 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 VFR conditions will prevail in vicinity of all TAF sites through early Tuesday. West-southwest winds around 5 to 15kt are expected to persist through much of the period with a weak lee side trough of low pressure remaining anchored in eastern Colorado. && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JJohnson AVIATION...JJohnson