699
FXUS63 KDLH 260559
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1259 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mainly dry this afternoon and tonight with slightly above
  normal temperatures.

- A more active pattern sets up for the new week with multiple
  chances for rain and perhaps a little snow.

- Near normal temperatures Monday into Tuesday before warming
  back above normal for the remainder of the week and into the
  weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 110 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Low pressure over Hudson Bay trailed a cold front into the
eastern UP of Michigan and northeastern to southwestern
Wisconsin early this afternoon. Some showers were lingering
along and behind the front across northern Wisconsin, but most
of this activity had cleared the Northland with dry conditions
expected for most for the balance of the afternoon and evening.
High pressure was building in from the Northern Plains with
drier air. A pressure gradient remained over the Minnesota
Arrowhead between the Hudson Bay low and the high moving in from
the west leading to some breezier winds from northern into
northeastern Minnesota. Heading into tonight, a stationary
boundary will set up across northern Wisconsin into central
Minnesota as a trough starts to emerge from the Rockies. This
may lead to some light shower activity across our far southern
zones tonight into tomorrow morning as moisture advects into the
Upper Midwest along this boundary and with isentropic lift.
Otherwise, most of the Northland will see a dry and fairly
normal fall day with highs running near normal in the 40s.

High pressure will shift to the northeast Monday night into
Tuesday as low pressure lifts northward across the Plains as a
mid-level trough moves into the central CONUS. As the low moves
into Minnesota early Tuesday, it will lift a warm front
northward and spread showers across the Northland. With lows
Monday night falling below freezing along and north of the Iron
Range, some light snow or pockets of all snow will be possible
as precipitation moves in. Temperatures will quickly warm after
sunrise and change any snow over to rain with little to no
accumulation expected. Showers will taper off from southwest to
northeast Tuesday afternoon before another chance for showers
arrives Tuesday night into Wednesday morning in association with
a weak cold front. This front will then stall out across the
region on Wednesday with warm southerly flow to the south of it.
This will bring highs in the 60s across northwest Wisconsin and
from around Lake Mille Lacs to the Twin Ports area with 50s to
the north and east. Another chance for showers will be seen
along and ahead of this front for Wednesday afternoon and
Wednesday night as this system moves out of the region and high
pressure builds in. While rainfall amounts for Wednesday don`t
look too impressive, there has been an upward trend in totals
for the Monday night into Tuesday round with 0.5-0.75" possible from
the Brainerd Lakes area into southern Pine and Burnett counties
with amounts tailing off to the north and east.

Low chances for precipitation will then linger for late week and
into the weekend, although guidance is less optimistic on this
occurring than yesterday. Confidence in the warmer temperatures
sticking around is higher, however, with highs in the 50s and
60s expected for late week and into the weekend with no hints of
a 1991-style Halloween.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1259 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

A few showers may affect BRD/HYR tonight, but visibility or
ceiling restrictions are not expected. Some stronger gusts have
been persistent at DLH/INL, but those should lessen in an hour
or two. Expect winds to gradually shift from north/northwest
over to easterly by Monday evening as a low pressure system
approaches. Rain will accompany the low with a warm front in our
area. Ceiling restrictions and possibly some visibility
restrictions are expected Monday evening from south to north,
affecting BRD/HYR and possibly DLH by the tail end of the
period.

&&

.MARINE /FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/...
Issued at 110 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Southwesterly winds of 5 to 15 knots this afternoon will weaken
and become northerly tonight and then northeasterly for Monday
at 5 to 15 knots. Some slightly higher gusts will be possible
near the Twin Ports Monday with terrain effects. The
northeasterly winds will increase Monday night into Tuesday and
become more easterly as an area of low pressure approaches from
the southwest. Winds of 10 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots
will be possible along parts of the North Shore during the day
Tuesday and may lead to conditions hazardous to small craft. As
the low moves to the north Tuesday night winds will become more
southerly and decrease to 5 to 15 knots. Southwesterly winds of
10 to 20 knots are then expected for Wednesday.

For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area
Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 110 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Mainly dry conditions will prevail this afternoon with chances
for showers returning in far southern areas late this afternoon
and evening. Clouds will stick around through the afternoon,
especially south, and keep RH values around 30% or higher. Some
parts of northwest Wisconsin may fall into the 25 to 30% range,
but with lingering cloud cover and showers this morning,
thinking values will trend a little higher than previously
forecast. Winds will be northwesterly around 6 to 12 mph this
afternoon with gusts to 15 to 20 mph across northeastern
Minnesota. The pattern turns more active heading into the new
week with showers spreading in late Monday and lingering into
Tuesday with more showers possible for Wednesday. Rainfall
amounts have trended upward with the latest forecast package
with 0.5-0.75" possible from the Brainerd Lakes area into
southern Pine and Burnett counties with amounts tailing off to
the north and east. Temperatures will remain cool for Monday and
Tuesday before warming back above normal for the rest of the
week.

See the Fire Weather Forecast product for a more thorough
breakdown of fire weather conditions.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BJH
AVIATION...JDS
MARINE...BJH
FIRE WEATHER...BJH