054
FXUS63 KDLH 140540
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1140 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures continue to warm into the weekend with dry sunny
  weather today and tomorrow.

- A system could bring light precipitation on Saturday. Mostly
  rain expected, with a few flakes possible in the evening.
  Strong winds will accompany this system as well.

- Temperatures cool down closer to normal next week and more
  slight chances for precipitation the mid week (<30%).

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 305 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Very warm temperatures are forecast for Friday as high pressure
drifts off to the east. Southerly winds ahead of an approaching
high-latitude low pressure system will result in robust warm
air advection tonight and Friday. Nudged low temps toward the
10th percentile of NBM guidance since skies are expected to be
clear and winds light. Several locations saw readings in the low
20s and upper teens last night. That potential will persist
tonight, too. Highs Friday will range from the upper 40s in the
Arrowhead to the upper 50s in north-central Minnesota to the low
and middle 60s from central Minnesota east into northwest
Wisconsin. Wind gusts of 20 to 25 mph are forecast during the
afternoon.

A cold front will advance southeastward across the Northland
Saturday morning and afternoon. A few rain showers may develop
ahead of the front, although rain amounts will be light, less
than 0.05". Winds will veer northwesterly behind the front and
temperatures will be steady or tumble during the day. Wind gusts
of 20 to 30 mph are forecast behind the front during the day.
Winds gradually weaken as we progress through the weekend
although the colder, near normal, temperatures will persist.

Not much change from Sunday through Wednesday with similar,
near normal, temperatures and generally quiet conditions. The
potential for unsettled weather returns late next week as
several models hint at a possible low pressure system bringing
precipitation to the region. Timing and location of the low vary
greatly between guidance families thus we won`t delve into the
details at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1123 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

VFR conditions expected for the TAF period. A LLJ will slowly
move through the Northland overnight and tomorrow night. LLWS
will be possible at INL tonight and HYR tomorrow night. HIB may
be affected tonight, but confidence has decreased and has been
removed from the TAF. Lesser values of wind shear are still
possible at the other terminals, but will likely occur when
winds at the surface increase during the day and will be lower
than 30 kt.

&&

.MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/...
Issued at 305 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

High pressure will remain in place for Friday and winds will
veer southeasterly. Gusts of 15 to 20 knots are possible along
the North Shore. A cold front will move across the water
Saturday morning and early afternoon. Look for winds to veer
northwesterly behind the front. Wind speeds and gusts will
increase and create conditions hazardous for smaller vessels.
There is a 10 to 30 percent chance of gales to 35 knots Saturday
afternoon and evening. Winds and waves will gradually weaken by
Sunday night.

For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area
Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Huyck
AVIATION...KML
MARINE...Huyck