058
FNUS73 KDLH 151002
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Crosby Wildfire...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
502 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on October 15.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds this morning will remain light with
speeds 5 mph or less this afternoon and largely from the
southeast, though direction could vary a bit. Decreasing clouds
through the day. RH is expected to remain around 60 percent this
afternoon with very light onshore flow. Winds will remain light
into tonight, but a quick reversal to northerly is possible around
sunset before gradually becoming easterly later tonight. A low-
level inversion is expected to remain in place through today,
keeping smoke dispersal conditions poor. Slightly more wind on
Thursday from the southeast gusting up to 10-15 mph. Rain moves in
Thursday afternoon. Thunder is not expected at this time (<5%
chance).

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  44  47  49  50  51  52  52  52  53  52
RH..............73  73  68  66  63  63  61  60  61  61  66
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.4 1.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10001   1   2   3   3   4   6   6   5   4   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 3 mph shifting to the east 3 to
                    7 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  48  45  44  44  43  43  43  42  42  42  43
RH..............71  77  86  86  82  86  86  86  89  89  89  89
20 FT wind dir..SE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   0   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3
20 FT wind gust.5   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  E
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   7
SDspl kt-ft/10001   0   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    late in the morning. Rain showers early in the
                    afternoon, then chance of rain showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 15 mph increasing to 12 to 16
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2000-17200 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.17 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....                LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  60  60  60  80  80  80  50  50
Temp............42  44  45  48  51  51  50  50  51  52  52  52
RH..............93  89  93  86  83  83  86  83  83  83  83  86
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.8   9   11  12  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   13  15  16  16  15  14  14  13  12
SDspl kt-ft/10002   2   3   9   14  17  17  15  13  11  9   6

$$
Forecaster...Josh
Requested by...Jennifer Opsal
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523402.5/DLH
.DELDT 10/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Warren.LaPlante@co.lake.mn.us,mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov