190
FNUS53 KDTX 221942
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
342 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.DISCUSSION...Hot weather persists over Southeast Michigan today with
minimum RHs in the 40 to 60 percent range. Showers and storms in the
Tri-city area and the Thumb, with areas to the south likely staying
dry. A line of additional showers and storms moves through this
evening into early Sunday morning as a cold front passes through.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-231415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
342 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5090-5590 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1097).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely until 2 am. Showers likely. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-80.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3390-3890 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (698).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-231415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
342 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 11 am. Showers likely after 2 pm. Chance
                    of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4950-5450 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1014).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely until 2 am. Showers likely. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 15 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2360-2860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (577).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-231415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
342 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....88-94.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6980-7480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1475).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Showers likely after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (892).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 80s. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s.
Highs in the mid 80s.

$$

BC