863
FNUS21 KWNS 040531
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CST Mon Nov 03 2025

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...Synopsis...
The upper-level jet will be located along the northern tier of the
U.S. today. At the surface, a modest low will develop in the
northern Plains. By Wednesday morning, a weak cold front will move
through much of the Plains and parts of the Upper Midwest.

...Central High Plains...
With the surface low deepening to the east and strong mid-level
winds across the terrain, 15-25 mph winds (higher near the terrain)
will be probable by the afternoon. Downslope flow will promote
15-20% RH in parts of eastern Wyoming into western Nebraska. A few
hours of elevated fire weather are expected.

...Portions of Lower Great Lakes...
Dry low-level air is evident in surface observations and regional
soundings Monday evening. As a surface low deepens in the northern
Plains, a belt of strong southerly winds will develop in the
mid-Mississippi Valley into parts of the lower Great Lakes. How low
RH will fall during the afternoon is not certain. Mid/upper-level
clouds will play a large role in how much surface heating will
occur. RH could fall as low as around 20% from southern Wisconsin
into northern Illinois/Indiana/Ohio. Dry fuels in the region would
support some level of fire concerns. However, the strongest winds
are more likely to remain south of the drier air where 10-15 mph is
expected. Locally elevated conditions are possible.

...Southern High Plains...
A modest lee trough will develop by the afternoon. Areas of 10-15
mph winds (perhaps locally higher) will likely occur in parts of
eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle and South Plains. RH of
around 20% can be expected. Pockets of fine fuels may be modestly
receptive to fire spread due to recent lack of rainfall and a hard
freeze. Brief, locally elevated conditions may occur where the most
favorable winds/RH align.

..Wendt.. 11/04/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$