


Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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706 WUUS01 KWNS 171627 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1125 AM CDT THU JUL 17 2025 VALID TIME 171630Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 47226708 45866860 44217072 43997144 43957329 44127387 45537386 0.05 47486763 45646958 45547015 45917142 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49620819 48100457 46529930 46179870 45719875 45289898 44820013 44860226 45270371 46890823 48611387 49511461 0.05 36030482 36740527 37910540 38490536 38570495 38620456 38260402 38010306 37400233 36650219 35920270 35660360 35760431 36030482 0.15 47800928 48401016 48740882 48410739 47390443 46800338 46390317 46090359 46220472 47310803 47800928 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49630934 47700451 47030185 46519929 46179870 45719875 45289899 44820013 44860227 45250370 46900828 47771093 48671314 49501404 0.05 46496718 44366955 42797109 41617196 40917310 37447600 36997665 36177852 35668081 36088416 35798741 35839156 35689514 34870146 34850336 35180439 35490483 36100482 37370496 38570497 38640438 37070100 36989921 37199582 37989296 38829128 39208978 39318547 39708316 39937984 40517699 41327621 42537591 43297644 44887611 0.15 47246709 45836865 44197071 44007144 43967336 44127387 45427386 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 48740882 48410739 47390443 46800338 46390317 46090359 46220472 47310803 47800928 48401016 48740882 SLGT 47066729 45836865 44197071 44007144 43967336 44127387 45427386 MRGL 49500790 48100457 46519929 46179870 45719875 45289899 44820013 44860227 45270371 46890825 48611387 49521461 MRGL 46496717 44366955 42797109 41617196 40917310 37447600 36997665 36177851 35668081 36088416 35798741 35839156 35689514 34870146 34850336 35180439 35490483 36030482 36740527 37910540 38490536 38570497 38640438 37070100 36989921 37189582 37989296 38829129 39208978 39318547 39708314 39937984 40517699 41327621 42537591 43297644 44887611 TSTM 49730003 48409677 47369522 46509464 45069595 44079808 43439932 42850124 42210204 41100191 40090177 39750139 39540090 39530049 39650003 39809920 39819885 39879826 40099732 40509307 40428774 40768194 40898010 40827858 40887760 41107681 41637645 42007658 42267726 42417803 42487884 42617938 42727954 43277980 43447984 99999999 29009409 30009434 31609422 33009269 34659137 35129172 35119394 34719776 34059986 33440147 33010318 32510338 31820243 30170240 29220188 99999999 31591371 32021357 32831369 33281466 33541668 34511721 36111674 37501707 37731760 37671848 37681940 38251989 38541978 38841970 39771880 40841754 41901711 42791619 42491426 42401212 42410976 42150860 42130716 42380631 42830543 43400503 44270552 44920633 45430705 46050813 46680934 47321199 48101400 49561754 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE HVR 40 WNW GGW 25 SSW SDY 25 W DIK 35 SSW DIK 35 N 2WX 25 WSW BHK 70 ENE LWT 55 N LWT 20 WSW HVR 45 ENE HVR. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE CAR 45 WSW HUL 30 E MWN 20 SSW MWN 35 NW RUT 25 SE SLK 60 NE MSS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 NNW GGW 35 NNW SDY 40 SW JMS 50 NNW ABR 25 NW ABR 30 WSW ABR 30 NNE PIR 65 NNW PHP 25 SSW 2WX 60 E LWT 25 NE GPI 85 N GPI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE HUL 15 ENE AUG 25 SW PSM 20 NNE GON 10 N ISP 40 NNE ORF 25 WNW ORF 25 NE RDU 30 NNE CLT 20 NNW TYS 45 WSW BNA 10 NE BVX 15 E MKO 30 SSE AMA 25 SSE TCC 45 W TCC 20 ESE LVS 30 NE LVS 45 W RTN 40 NE ALS 40 WSW COS 20 SW COS 20 SE COS LBL 35 WNW AVK 30 NNE BVO 50 WNW TBN 50 ENE JEF 25 NE ALN 50 ESE IND 25 SSW CMH 20 NNE MGW 20 NNW CXY 25 W AVP 25 N BGM 20 NW SYR 60 N ART. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 NNE MOT 25 SSE HCO 20 SW BJI 25 WNW BRD 30 SE VVV 20 N MHE 25 S 9V9 35 W VTN 40 ENE AIA 45 NNW IML 30 SSW IML 30 NNE GLD 45 ENE GLD 35 WNW HLC 20 NNW HLC 45 NE HLC 60 SSW HSI 40 NW CNK 35 WSW BIE 40 NW IRK 15 NNW DNV 30 WSW CAK 30 NNE PIT 30 SE DUJ 15 E UNV 10 SSE IPT 35 NE IPT 20 SE ELM 20 WNW ELM 50 SE BUF 30 NE JHW 30 NNW JHW 40 NNW JHW 60 WNW BUF 65 WNW BUF ...CONT... 45 ESE GLS 20 W BPT 40 NE LFK 15 SSE ELD 45 NE PBF 40 NE LIT 30 ESE FSM 30 SSE CHK 35 SE CDS 25 SE LBB 25 N HOB 15 SW HOB 15 SW MAF 15 NW 6R6 60 W DRT ...CONT... 90 SE YUM 75 SE YUM 55 ENE YUM 25 S BLH 30 WSW TRM 35 SW DAG 55 SW DRA 40 S TPH 35 SW TPH 20 NNW BIH 60 WNW BIH 45 S TVL 30 SSE TVL 15 ESE TVL 20 N NFL 15 ESE WMC 50 W OWY 55 S BOI 10 E TWF 20 NNE MLD 20 ESE BPI 45 NNE RKS 25 N RWL 35 SSE CPR DGW 50 NNE DGW GCC 35 ENE SHR 45 N SHR 25 NE BIL 25 SSE LWT 30 WSW GTF 20 SE GPI 115 NE OMK.