Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
526 FNUS22 KWNS 130541 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level low over the Four Corners region will send an eastward progressing cold front into eastern AZ/western NM on Day 2/Wednesday. High elevation snow is likely in southwestern to central CO with precipitation chances spreading into the central Plains as the trough lifts over northern CO. Farther west, an offshore gradient will begin to develop on Day 2/Wednesday afternoon, increasing east/northeast sustained winds to 15-25 mph in terrain-favored areas of western L.A. county into Santa Barbara county; thus, locally elevated fire weather conditions are possible where dry fuels exist. The pressure gradient will strengthen late in the Day 2/Wednesday period (early Thursday morning) leading into an offshore wind event late this week (see the Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook for details). Meanwhile, high pressure will transition over the Southeast, transporting rich Gulf moisture into the southern Plains and Ozarks. As a result, anomalously high PWATs ranging from 1.8-2.2" and afternoon large scale ascent are expected to promote areas of heavy rainfall along a sagging cold front. This system is expected to provide relief to drying fuels across the region, especially to areas categorized by extreme to exceptional drought. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 10/13/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$