Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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812
FNUS22 KWNS 011942
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CST Mon Dec 01 2025

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

Accelerating mid-level westerly flow over the southern and central
Rockies and accompanying lee cyclogenesis across the central
southern High Plains will enhance dry, downslope flow across eastern
NM and the TX Panhandle Tuesday. West-southwest winds at the surface
of up to 20 mph along with relative humidity falling to around 15%
are expected across portions of eastern NM Tuesday afternoon, with
breezy south-southwest winds but slightly higher relative humidity
extending into the TX Panhandle and far western OK. However, fuels
remain unsupportive of significant wildfire spread across the
region, limiting impacts from dry/breezy conditions.

..Williams.. 12/01/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0133 AM CST Mon Dec 01 2025/

...Synopsis...
Within the base of an amplifying large-scale trough over the western
half of the CONUS, a belt of moderate midlevel westerly flow will
overspread the southern Rockies during the day. In response, a lee
cyclone will deepen over the central High Plains, further enhancing
the downslope flow across parts of eastern NM into the TX Panhandle
/South Plains. While around 20 mph sustained west-southwesterly
surface winds and 15-25 percent RH are expected, cold antecedent
conditions and limited/marginal fuels should mitigate most
fire-weather concerns. This will also be the case to the southeast
of the lee cyclone over western OK -- where dry/breezy southerly
return flow is expected amid marginal/unreceptive fuels.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$