273
WTPZ25 KNHC 051438
TCMEP5

HURRICANE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
1500 UTC SUN OCT 05 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 123.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  60SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 123.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 123.9W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.9N 123.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.1N 122.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.9N 121.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.7N 119.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.3N 118.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.3N 117.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 17.6N 112.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 123.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN