Area Forecast Discussion
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633
FXUS64 KEPZ 051817
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1117 AM MST Fri Dec 5 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 959 AM MST Fri Dec 5 2025

 - Friday, cold morning and cool afternoon with afternoon breezes,
   but dry and sunny.

 - Dry conditions, typical breezes, and a slow warming trend are
   expected through the weekend and into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 959 AM MST Fri Dec 5 2025

A quiet weather pattern will persist through to next week. High
pressure over the eastern Pacific will maintain a dry northwest
flow over the region through the middle of next week. This
persistent pattern will result in dry conditiknos with no
significant weather impacts through next week. Temperatures in the
dry air will will remain seasonal with cool to cold overnight
temperatures with afternoon highs running near or slightly above
normal with lowland temperatures during the afternoon remaining in
the 60s. Westerly to northwesterly winds will be somewhat breezy
this afternoon and again on Saturday afternoon, but will remain
light at other times.

The long range forecast continues to look dry with no significant
weather impacts with seasonal temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 959 AM MST Fri Dec 5 2025

VFR conditions are expected with FEW-SCT040-060/250 BCMG SKC-
FEW250 by 18z. Winds will start off light and variable, but
increase to the 10 to 15 knot range by 20z with gusts up to 25
knots. Direction will be from the west to northwest (270-320).

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 959 AM MST Fri Dec 5 2025

A warming and drying trend is expected throughout the forecast
period. Highs will gradually warm each day, peaking on Wednesday
while dew points decrease. This will lead to afternoon min RH
values in the lower 20s and upper teens. Winds will be breezy for
this afternoon and Saturday, topping out around 10 to 15 MPH.
Venting will range fair to good each afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  36  65  40  65 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            32  60  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               29  61  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               28  59  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               22  41  25  42 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    30  62  35  60 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              29  55  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   28  64  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                27  60  30  62 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       36  63  40  64 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                25  65  29  65 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             34  68  37  68 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               32  56  36  58 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   32  66  35  66 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             30  63  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           36  63  40  64 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            22  63  27  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    27  67  31  65 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 33  66  37  66 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                27  60  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  27  55  29  56 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                24  52  26  54 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 23  50  26  53 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  20  60  25  57 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                31  63  35  62 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                25  60  29  61 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             23  55  26  60 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   27  58  30  61 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    23  61  24  65 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               23  57  25  62 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  30  58  34  60 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   30  63  33  64 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  28  63  31  63 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           31  64  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               35  57  36  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...04-Lundeen