Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
036 FXUS64 KEPZ 091137 AAB AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 437 AM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 430 AM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 - No significant weather impacts are expected through next week. - Dry conditions, typical afternoon breezes, and a gradual warming trend will occur this week with near record highs possible Thursday and Friday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1005 PM MST Mon Dec 8 2025 No changes from previous forecast packages as a quiet weather pattern persists over the Desert Southwest through the work week and into the weekend. Strong upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific will continue to promote dry northwesterly flow over the Borderland Region. All in all, expected quiet and fair weather conditions through the work week. High temperatures will continue to increase each day with highs becoming 10-17 degrees above average Wednesday through Friday. The warmest temperatures will be on Thursday, with near record values across the desert lowlands. Cloud coverage will be a minimum with instances of high level cirrus from time to time. Winds each afternoon will be light to low-end breezy, typical diurnal wind flow regime. Quiet and fair weather conditions continue this weekend. Model guidance is hinting at a cold front moving in from the east during the weekend timeframe. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 430 AM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 VFR conditions to prevail throughout the TAF period with light winds. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 430 AM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 Dry conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period as high pressure dominates in the Pacific. A regime of northwesterly flow aloft will persist for the rest of the week, ushering in continued dry air. MinRH will be at its lowest this afternoon, with widespread critical values seen across the lowlands. Winds will be generally light and terrain influenced. This will lead to strong morning inversions and subsequent impacts to ventilation. A backdoor front may surge down the Great Plains Saturday night into Sunday leading to an easterly shift in winds and an increase in minRH Sunday afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 69 40 70 42 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 63 34 65 37 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 65 35 67 37 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 66 36 68 39 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 49 31 52 34 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 64 39 67 40 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 67 38 68 40 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 69 35 72 37 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 68 35 69 37 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 66 41 68 43 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 66 31 70 34 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 69 36 72 38 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 61 39 61 40 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 68 36 70 37 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 65 36 67 37 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 66 43 68 44 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 66 34 67 35 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 69 34 70 36 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 68 38 71 40 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 64 34 65 36 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 57 36 68 40 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 60 33 63 36 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 57 31 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 63 33 68 34 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 65 40 69 42 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 65 33 67 35 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 67 32 69 34 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 67 36 69 38 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 72 33 73 35 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 69 34 70 36 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 65 39 68 42 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 69 36 70 39 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 68 35 70 37 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 69 37 72 39 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 67 41 68 43 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...99