Area Forecast Discussion
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475
FXUS64 KEPZ 090506
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1006 PM MST Mon Dec 8 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1005 PM MST Mon Dec 8 2025

 - No significant weather impacts are expected through next week.

 - Dry conditions, typical afternoon breezes, and a gradual
   warming trend will occur this week with near record highs
   possible Thursday and Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1005 PM MST Mon Dec 8 2025

No changes from previous forecast packages as a quiet weather
pattern persists over the Desert Southwest through the work week and
into the weekend.

Strong upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific will
continue to promote dry northwesterly flow over the Borderland
Region. All in all, expected quiet and fair weather conditions
through the work week. High temperatures will continue to increase
each day with highs becoming 10-17 degrees above average Wednesday
through Friday. The warmest temperatures will be on Thursday, with
near record values across the desert lowlands. Cloud coverage will
be a minimum with instances of high level cirrus from time to time.
Winds each afternoon will be light to low-end breezy, typical
diurnal wind flow regime.

Quiet and fair weather conditions continue this weekend. Model
guidance is hinting at a cold front moving in from the east during
the weekend timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1005 PM MST Mon Dec 8 2025

VMC expected through the period with skies SKC. Winds light and
VRB through the overnight and morning timeframe, becoming SWerly
at 5-10 knots during the afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1002 AM MST Mon Dec 8 2025

Warm and dry for this time of the year will be the story for this
week as high temperatures will start out about 5 degrees above
normal and warm to 10-15 above normal by Thu/Fri. Dry air at the
surface will allow min RH`s to drop into the 15-25% range daily
but winds will be fairly light, maybe an occasional breezy day in
the mountains. Light winds and strong morning inversions will keep
vent rates poor to fair the next couple of days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  67  40  69  40 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            61  35  63  34 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               64  35  65  35 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               64  37  66  36 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               46  32  49  31 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    62  37  64  39 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              63  38  67  38 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   67  34  69  35 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                64  34  68  35 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       64  40  66  41 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                67  30  66  31 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             69  36  69  36 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               57  38  61  39 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   66  34  68  36 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             63  34  65  36 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           65  43  66  43 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            63  32  66  34 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    67  34  69  34 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 67  38  68  38 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                61  33  64  34 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  62  39  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                56  33  60  33 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 56  33  57  31 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  63  34  63  33 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                66  40  65  40 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                63  33  65  33 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             64  33  67  32 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   65  36  67  36 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    67  33  72  33 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               64  34  69  34 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  64  40  65  39 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   66  37  69  36 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  65  34  68  35 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           66  36  69  37 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               64  42  67  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...38-Rogers