Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
524
FNUS54 KEPZ 171016
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
416 AM MDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.DISCUSSION...
We will see isolated to scattered afternoon and evening
thunderstorms today. The main threat from the thunderstorms will
be strong and gusty outflow winds. Away from the thunderstorms our
winds will stay well below critical levels through the end of the
week. Min RH`s today will be at or above 20%, but then drier air
begins to filter into the region on Tuesday. Min RH`s for
Wednesday through Friday, will range from the low to mid teens in
the lowlands to the 20`s in area mountains. With the drier air
moving in, we will see lower rain chances this week, mainly
confined to area mountains. Ventilation rates will range from good
to very good over the next couple of days.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171915-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
416 AM MDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...50 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (77800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-57.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 64. Highs 85 to 90. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 87 to 92. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171915-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
416 AM MDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. West winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171915-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
416 AM MDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171915-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
416 AM MDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....72-77.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....75-80 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 86 to 91. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 66. Highs 86 to 91. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 85 to 90. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171915-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
416 AM MDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....92-96.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........24-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-73.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs 97 to 101. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs
99 to 103. South winds 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 98 to 102.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171915-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
416 AM MDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 95 to
100. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69 to 74. Highs 95 to 100. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$