Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
127
FNUS54 KEPZ 162021
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
121 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire danger through the week. For Monday temperatures will be 3 to
7 degrees cooler than Sunday with Min RH values above 30 perent
areawide. Winds will be generally of the west at 8-15 mph with gusts to
25 mph during the afternoon. Afternoon smoke ventilation rates will
range from fair to good. Cooler weather continues with the next storm
system bring increased chances for precipitation during the Wednesday
to Thursday timeframe.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171215-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
121 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....29-34.
* Below 7500 ft....34-39.
* 24 hr trend......4-6 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14-18 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph decreasing
to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......3-5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10-13 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 5700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73000 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....31-36.
* Below 7500 ft....36-41.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....47-52 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (124400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers, snow showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 36 to 41. Highs 48 to
53. South winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 31 to 36. Highs 43 to 48.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of snow showers. Lows
26 to 31. Highs 45 to 50. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171215-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
121 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....40-44.
* 24 hr trend......4-6 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........91-96 percent.
* 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
northwest around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99900 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
* Min temperature.....42-46.
* Max humidity........78-83 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Max temperature.....63-68.
* Min humidity........32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (124400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Highs 60 to 65. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 40. Highs
54 to 59. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. Highs 55 to
60. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171215-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
121 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....42-46.
* 24 hr trend......1-4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........87-92 percent.
* 24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 20 mph
decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 33 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........29-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92800 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....42-47.
* Max humidity........75-80 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Max temperature.....64-69.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 43 to
48. Highs 63 to 68. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs 55 to 60. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
30s. Highs 55 to 60. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171215-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
121 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....33-38.
* Below 7500 ft....39-44.
* 24 hr trend......3-5 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89 percent.
* 24 hr trend......30-35 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 40 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....48-53.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......6-8 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1-4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200-5400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100800 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....33-38.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....84-89 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 38 to 43. Highs 56 to 61.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers, snow
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 35 to 40. Highs
46 to 51. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Lows 29 to 34. Highs 47 to 52. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
121 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....Around 50.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........83-88 percent.
* 24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........32-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200-6000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (85300 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....47-49.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
* Max temperature.....68-72.
* Min humidity........28-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (83600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows near
50. Highs near 70. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 40s. Highs near 60. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 40. Highs near 60. West winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
121 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....45-49.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........90-95 percent.
* 24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....67-72.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........33-38 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98700 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....43-47.
* Max humidity........78-83 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
* Max temperature.....69-74.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows
near 50. Highs 67 to 72. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 56 to 61. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid
to upper 30s. Highs 57 to 62. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$