861
FNUS74 KEPZ 111352
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for 16 Springs RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
652 AM MST Tue Nov 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on November 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions persist each day through Thursday. Critical min RHs
expected this afternoon at 15%, staying generally the same Wednesday
and Thursday afternoons. Northwest 20 foot winds expected today at 10-15
mph this afternoon calming to around 8 mph overnight. Light afternoon
winds tomorrow afternoon generally 5-10 mph. Light breezes out of the west
Thursday. Temperatures will run 10-15 degrees above average this time of
year.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (51700 knot-ft) becoming poor mid-afternoon.

TIME (MST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   6   6   6   16  16  16
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............57  63  67  69  70  69  65  57
RH..............27  21  18  17  15  16  18  23
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  12  12  9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.23  23  23  23  23  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.23  23  23  23  16  16  16  16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..40  50  56  56  52  37  20   6
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6500 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  17  17  22  22  22  26  26  26  31  31  31
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  51  49  47  45  44  42  41  40  39  39  37
RH..............25  28  29  31  33  36  39  41  41  42  42  46
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18  18  18  15  15  15  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  12  12  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming west around 5 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9800 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  32  32  27  27  27  23  23  23  24  24  24
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............37  39  46  53  58  63  67  69  70  69  65  58
RH..............48  48  40  31  26  21  18  17  16  17  20  26
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  8   8   8   13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  10  10  10  37  37  37  37  35  35  35  35
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds
around 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Cooler. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...Matthew Barone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525324.6/EPZ
.DELDT 11/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.barone@usda.gov