376
FXUS64 KEWX 211124 AAA
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
524 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

...New AVIATION (12Z TAFS)...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 114 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

The coldest night of the season is underway and many locations in
the Hill Country and even some spots along the I-35 Corridor have
already dipped into the mid to upper 30s early this morning. With a
surface high pretty much right on top of South Central Texas, expect
light and variable winds and even calm conditions through sunrise
before winds start to shift back out of the west-southwest for the
afternoon. Temperatures should rebound nicely given dewpoints in the
20s and 30s and a light WSW breeze. Highs will top out in the upper
60s to middle 70s with plenty of sunshine. Another chilly night is
expected tonight, but not quite as cold as winds will be more west-
southwesterly and the surface high will have shifted to our east.
Nevertheless, lows in the mid to upper 30s and lower to middle 40s
can be expected to start your Friday. Friday afternoon looks
fantastic with sunny skies and highs in the 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 114 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

A strengthening southerly lower level flow brings a warming and
moistening trend this weekend into Monday allowing above average
temperatures to return. There remains some disagreements among the
models/ensembles for cold fronts next week. The current expectation
is a cold front moves into our area late Monday, moves back north on
Tuesday, then a stronger cold front moves across our area Wednesday
night or on Thanksgiving. Above average temperatures continue on
Tuesday and Wednesday, then near average on Thanksgiving. Although
there is forcing with the fronts, moisture levels will likely be
sufficient for a only a few patches of light rain, at best. As a
result, have kept rain out of the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 501 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

The only change to the previous forecast was to introduce a period of
prevailing SSW winds between 220-240 at AUS, SAT, and SSF this
afternoon. Otherwise, VFR ceilings and winds less than 5 kts are
expected through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              73  45  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  73  37  75  42 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     73  41  77  45 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            70  41  72  45 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           74  45  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        72  40  72  43 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             72  42  76  47 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        73  40  76  43 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   73  42  75  43 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       72  46  75  49 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           72  45  76  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...MMM
Long-Term...04
Aviation...MMM