824
FXUS64 KEWX 081825
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
125 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 124 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

- Temperatures to remain near to just above normal through the
  next week.

- Most areas remain dry with only a low chance for some afternoon
  showers near and over the Coastal Plains to I-35 corridor
  through Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 124 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

Given similar synoptic flow and low-level conditions compared to the
last few days, another period of isolated showers should accompany
this evening`s seabreeze over the Coastal Plains and eastern I-35
corridor. Most will stay dry, but a brief window of gusty winds,
rain, and perhaps a few rumbles of thunder would be in store for the
few experiencing a shower. Another area of showers is possible in
the evening north of the Hill Country and Austin area, in tandem
with an area of weak convergence aloft, but confidence in this
reaching our area is lower. Tonight stays mild with lows in the 70s.

Sunday should play out similarly. It will be a dry and sunny day for
most across South Central Texas with highs in the mid 90s to near
100F, with heat indices in the low 100s up to around 108F in the
Coastal Plains. Z500 heights are slightly lower Sunday, so there may
be a slightly better opportunity for isolated puffs of shower
development between the eastern Hill Country and the Coastal Plains.
This could occur both along the leading edge of the evening
seabreeze and independent of the seabreeze due to the presence of a
narrow filament of mid-level vorticity aloft. Still, we expect
coverage to be sparse and thus rain chances are only about 15 to 20
percent at best and limited to the afternoon and early evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Saturday)
Issued at 124 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

Hot and mostly dry summer weather should stick around for the
foreseeable future. Isolated seabreeze showers remain possible each
afternoon and early evening over the Coastal Plains and eastern I-35
corridor, but those chances will start to diminish as ridging
intensifies over our area during the week. Warmer mid-level air
associated with this strengthened ridging is expected to arrive
around Tuesday and suppress opportunities for rain from then onward.

Daytime highs are forecast to inch up some as the warmest of this
air expands across South Central Texas mid to late week. Ambient
temperatures during this stretch are forecast to reach the 100-102F
range for many areas each day. Apparent temperatures with Gulf
moisture staying in place could necessitate Heat Advisories later in
the week as values above 108F are possible across areas mainly east
of I-37/I-35. The outlook for the upcoming weekend and through mid
August looks quite dry and hot at this range without much indication
in ensemble guidance that ridging will move out of the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Sat Aug 8 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the afternoon and evening with
FEW-SCT cu field. Patchy stratus producing MVFR ceilings will be
possible again early Sunday morning, 10Z-14Z, near BAZ-SAT-HDO.
We do expected another round of isolated SHRA and TSRA activity
21Z-03Z across the Coastal Plains and into portions of the I-35
corridor and eastern Hill Country. Given the low coverage and low
confidence in placement, no mention has been included in the I-35
corridor TAFs at the moment, but amendments could be required late
afternoon and evening. Gusty winds will be possible behind outflow
boundaries that are produced by any SHRA/TSRA activity.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              76  97  77  97 /  10  10   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  76  97  76  97 /  20  10   0  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     75  97  75  97 /  20  10  10  10
Burnet Muni Airport            74  95  74  95 /  10   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           77  98  77  98 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        75  97  75  96 /  10  10   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             73  95  74  96 /  10   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        75  97  76  97 /  20  10   0  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   76  96  76  96 /  10  20   0  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       76  96  77  96 /  20  10   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           76  97  77  98 /  20  10  10   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Tran
LONG TERM....Tran
AVIATION...76