Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 080542
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1242 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1236 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

- Daily sea breeze thunderstorm chances in the Coastal Plains
through the rest of the week.

- Humid conditions with above average temperatures and peak heat
indices will continue.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026


A large and expansive upper level ridge currently located over
Oklahoma continues to influence our area when looking at upper air
analysis. Temperatures will remain above normal with highs in the
upper 90s to low 100s for today. Wednesday we could see similar
conditions but a few degrees cooler with upper 90s expected for most
with heat indices once again just below or near advisory criteria.
We could see some isolated showers/storms across the Edwards Plateau
and Hill Country as recent Hi-res guidance has been pretty
aggressive so have added in very low pops (10%) otherwise most areas
should once again remain hot and dry.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Not much change expected in the long term as the strong upper level
ridge eventually breaks down over the northern part of the country.
However, it will continue to control the weather across the southern
states. We will remain under southeasterly low level flow which will
continue to keep hot, moist air over South-Central Texas.
Additionally, we could see some seabreeze convection occur daily
through the rest of the week mainly over the Coastal Plains, but
chances remain rather low. Otherwise expect the majority of our area
to remain hot and dry with highs in the upper 90s to near 100 each
day and lows in the low to mid 70s. We could likely see heat indices
just shy of heat advisory criteria (108+ degrees) as moisture will
remain across the area. Continue to check back to future forecasts
and remember to practice safe heat safety.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

VFR conditions are forecast for the local area terminals through
this cycle. Light southerly winds are forecast for the overnight
period through late Tuesday morning. Then, wind speeds increase to
average between 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon and early evening.
May be a bit gusty early evening with the passage of the
seabreeze.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry             101  77  99  77 /   0  10  10  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 100  77  99  77 /  10  10  10  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     99  76  98  75 /   0  10  10  10
Burnet Muni Airport            98  75  96  74 /  10   0  10  10
Del Rio Intl Airport          101  78  99  78 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport       100  77  98  76 /  10  10  10  10
Hondo Muni Airport             99  75  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport       100  76  98  75 /   0  10  10  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional  100  77  98  77 /  10   0  20   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       99  78  97  77 /   0  10  10   0
Stinson Muni Airport          101  78  99  77 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CJM
LONG TERM....CJM
AVIATION...17