916
FXUS62 KFFC 311127
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
627 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025


...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 625 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025

- Mostly sunny and dry conditions persist through Thursday,
  leading to elevated fire danger this afternoon for Middle
  Georgia and portions of north Georgia due to low relative
  humidity.

- Showers and a few thunderstorms will return late Friday into
  Saturday. Severe weather is not a concern.

- Cool temperatures today and tonight return to several degrees
  above normal from Thursday onward.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 253 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025

Northwest flow persists aloft through Thursday while surface high
pressure will slide eastward across the Gulf. This all translates
into continued mostly sunny and dry weather through the short term.
After a cold morning, high temperatures today will begin to rebound
back to the 50s for most, only a few degrees below normal. Minimum
relative humidity values will again reach critical thresholds <= 25%
this afternoon for for Middle Georgia and portions of north Georgia,
necessitating a Fire Danger Statement for these areas.

Temperatures will again drop to near or just below freezing again by
Thursday morning, but the sustained warming trend will continue.
Highs Thursday will jump back toward values just above normal with
60 degrees again being reached for many locations.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 253 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025

Moving into Friday, northwesterly flow aloft trends more quasi-
zonal, and a handful of mid-level shortwave disturbances traversing
the aforementioned benign flow will support our next round of rain
chances -- our first of the new year. Ensemble guidance remains in
agreement that a surface low pressure system will sweep across the
Southeast, a swath of moisture out ahead. Currently almost no
surface-based instability is progged, however, a warm front drifting
lazily northward over the course of the day Saturday will allow
dewpoints to improve within our weak warm sector (in the 50s south
of the Metro vs. the 30s to mid-40s areawide on Friday). Thus,
expecting primarily showers -- and perhaps a few embedded elevated
thunderstorms from Columbus to Macon and areas further south -- to
spread from west to east beginning Friday afternoon, lingering until
clearing occurs to the south and east by very early Sunday. Forecast
rainfall totals have held steady on the order of half of an inch to
an inch areawide, which is beneficial, but unlikely to make
wholesale improvements to our ongoing drought conditions.

Moving into the latter half of the weekend and into next week, high
pressure moves in at the surface in the wake of our rain chances,
reinforced by northwesterly flow aloft. As a result, generally dry
and tranquil conditions are expected to round out the extended --
with highs in the mid-50s to 60s (and potentially near 70 on
Saturday and Tuesday for portions of south central Georgia). Morning
lows will remain solidly in the upper 30s to 40s, warming and
moderating by a few degrees each night beginning this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025

VFR conditions will prevail under mostly clear skies. Winds remain
W with speeds 3-6 kts this morning increasing to 8-12 kts after
18Z with gusts 15-20 kts also possible 18Z to 00Z Thursday before
settling back to 3-6 kts.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
High confidence.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          50  35  59  38 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         50  34  58  40 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     45  27  52  31 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    50  29  57  35 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        53  31  61  37 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     48  35  56  38 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           53  32  61  36 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            53  32  60  38 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  51  31  59  36 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         54  34  62  38 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...RW