781
FXUS62 KFFC 050746
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
246 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Areas of dense fog, reducing visibilities down to a quarter mile,
  will persist until 10AM across parts of North and Central Georgia.

- Scattered rain showers and embedded thunderstorms will shift
  primarily along and south of Interstate 85.

- Above-normal temperatures continue through Friday with more
  seasonal temperatures returning this weekend into early next
  week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 244 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

A cold front is beginning to push through NW GA this morning, slowly
shifting the axis of showers and isolated thunderstorms eastward as
the wedge erodes. Behind the front low clouds and dense fog are
quickly developing. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for NW GA and
is likely to be expanded further south and east.Visiblities down to
a quarter mile are expected in dense fog making travel hazardous --
please exercise caution if you are on the road this morning.

At least through mid-day scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms will primarily be concentrated along the I-85 corridor
before beginning to shift further south into Central GA by the
afternoon. The severe threat for today remains low as the overlap of
best vertical shear is more displaced with the parent system
(currently over the southern Great Lakes) shift northeast. Showers
and thunderstorms will continue across parts of Central Georgia
tonight into early Friday.

For today temperatures will rise to the 70s and likely reaching the
low 80s across parts of Central GA. We`ll see decent gradient of
temperatures tonight as the cold front bisects the forecast area.
Overnight lows will range from the upper 40s to low 50s across North
GA to mid 60s across Central GA.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 244 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

Please see the previous long term discussion below.

At the start of the long term period on Friday, a digging shortwave
will be in the process of phasing with a broader closed low situated
across the southern Great Lakes. As the aforementioned low shifts to
the south and east, a secondary (likely dry) cold front will trek
across north and central Georgia -- sending a reinforcing push of
supremely dry air across the Southeast. Isolated to scattered
showers and embedded thunderstorms may be ongoing across the eastern
portion of the forecast area around daybreak through the early
afternoon Friday, forced by what remains of the front supporting
fairly widespread showers at the time of writing of this AFD. PWATs
will drop swiftly behind the second frontal push, with much of the
Southeast progged to sit at values of 0.5" or lower through the
weekend (generally between the 10th and 25th percentile
climatologically). Rain chances will be similarly effaced, likely
remaining 10% or less through midweek next week as a regime of dry,
northwesterly flow sets up in the midlevels. Fairly significant
model discrepancies arise from Tuesday on -- the GFS favors a mature
low pressure system and expansive precipitation shield riding along
the northern Gulf, while the Euro lifts a much weaker shortwave
across the southern Plains, fizzling out over the Tennessee River
Valley. This would be the difference between a breezy, overrunning
deluge of rainfall and perhaps not a drop of rain, so care will need
to be taken to monitor trends over the next several model runs.

Afternoon highs initially in the 70s to lower 80s on Friday will
become more seasonable into the weekend, in the 60s to lower 70s.
Morning lows will return to the 30s to mid-40s on Sunday morning,
and potentially in the upper 20s for portions of northeast Georgia
at elevation. We are in the heart of frost/freeze season, so
subsequent product issuance may be necessary for portions of far
north Georgia on Sunday and Monday night/morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

A messy aviation forecast tonight. IFR to LIFR cigs expected at
all sites now through at least 15-16z with slow improvements thru
the afternoon. BR and FG will cause vsbys to drop to as low as 1SM
(perhaps down to 1/4 at times in dense FG) between 08-14z.
Intermittent -DZ or -RA through the overnight becoming more
prominent after sunrise. SSE to SW wind 3-7kts.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Medium confidence on all elements.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          75  59  75  48 /  50  30  10   0
Atlanta         75  59  72  50 /  40  10   0   0
Blairsville     73  48  68  39 /  20   0   0   0
Cartersville    76  51  72  42 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        79  62  76  50 /  40  20   0   0
Gainesville     74  58  73  48 /  40  10   0   0
Macon           80  63  76  49 /  20  50  10   0
Rome            75  49  72  43 /  10   0   0   0
Peachtree City  76  56  73  45 /  50  10   0   0
Vidalia         84  66  81  54 /  10  20  30   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for GAZ001>005-
011-012-019-020-030.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...07