687
FXUS62 KFFC 281134
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
634 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025


...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 625 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

 - Patchy morning fog will give way to one final day of
   unseasonable warmth today.

 - A strong cold front will push through the area Monday, bringing
   temperatures 10-15 degrees below normal through Tuesday before
   moderating back to near normal by the end of the week.

 - Light rain showers associated with Monday`s front will only
   bring rainfall amounts a tenth of an inch or less for most
   areas.

 - Windy and dry conditions Tuesday and Wednesday may lead to
   increased fire danger. Exercise caution when burning or if
   planning any outdoor New Years celebrations that include
   fireworks.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 316 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

Today brings one final day of very warm temperatures before big
changes arrive on Monday by way of a strong cold front. This
morning, widespread cloud cover is filling in across most of the
area, interspersed with regions of fog where skies are clearer in
between the more persistent overcast conditions. While patchy dense
fog has been observed, the limited coverage of this dense fog (vsbys
1/4 SM or less) has precluded issuance of a Dense Fog Advisory so
far. With clouds expected to continue to increase over the next few
hours, coverage of dense fog is not expected to greatly increase,
but trends will be monitored through sunrise.

Mostly cloudy skies will then persist for the remainder of the day.
Temperatures will still warm to levels 15-25 degrees above normal
despite the widespread clouds, courtesy of the upper ridge axis
extending northward across the Eastern Seaboard. This puts us again
safely into the 70s for most areas outside of northeast Georgia
where weak easterly winds from a CAD extending from the Carolinas
could keep temperatures marginally cooler. Unlike yesterday, daily
record highs are less likely to be breached, though we`ll still be
within a few degrees. Otherwise, a few isolated light rain showers
or sprinkles will be possible today amid weak overrunning of the
wedge front, but these would only amount to a few hundredths of an
inch of rainfall at most.

Looking ahead to tomorrow, winter finally will make a return as a
strong cold front barrels into the state. This front will quickly
sweep into northwest Georgia during the predawn hours Sunday as a
deep trough swings through the Great Lakes. The front will then
clear the remainder of the area by early afternoon. While a narrow
band of convective showers is likely along the front, this activity
will unfortunately bring very little rainfall, with even the most
fortunate spots in far north Georgia unlikely to see much over a
tenth of an inch. In fact, most locations will likely only see on
the order of a few hundredths at best. The primary sensible effects
will be gusty winds mixing down as this frontal band pushes through
given the strong LLJ, followed by rapidly falling temperatures.
Gusty post-frontal northwest winds of 15-20 mph with gusts near or
over 30 mph at times combined with falling temperatures through the
day will bring a distinctly wintry feel back to the area after the
recent balmy conditions.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 316 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

To kick off the extended on Tuesday, north and central Georgia will
be solidly post-front. Under a steady stream of much cooler, much
drier northwesterly flow at the mid-levels, highs on Tuesday will
be much colder, topping out in just the upper 30s to lower 50s --
about 6 to 14 degrees below average for late December. A
relatively strong pressure gradient will remain in the wake of the
front, and breezy conditions are likely throughout the day
Tuesday. This, combined with 1) ongoing drought conditions 2)
dropping relative humidity and 3) lack of wetting rains, could
support fire weather concerns (potentially even Red Flag
conditions if winds stay elevated). Will need to continue to
monitor as the forecast is refined, but we urge caution if you`re
planning on ushering in the New Year with early fireworks
celebrations.

Very little changes are then expected pattern-wise into day 7, and
the northern fringes of a surface high pressure system churning
across the Gulf combined with the aforementioned northwesterly flow
should keep things mostly clear and dry. With minimal cloud cover
overnight, lows each day Wednesday through Friday will be in the 20s
to 30s, a tick "warmer" each night than the night before. Highs will
follow a similar moderating pattern, gradually warming into the mid-
50s to lower 60s.

Moving into the weekend, a shortwave traversing mid-level flow
across the ArkLaMiss will likely support our next round of rain
chances -- and our first of the new year. Differences remain amongst
global model guidance, and PoPs are currently capped at 40-50% to
capture uncertainty in intensity of both key features and
moisture at play.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

A wide range of cigs/vsbys exists at TAF sites this morning,
ranging from LIFR to VFR. Best chance for intermittent LIFR cigs
as well as reduced vsbys at most sites will be through 14-15Z
with some improvement possible thereafter, though persistent VFR
may hold off until after 18-21Z. MVFR to IFR cigs then become
more likely again after 04-06Z Monday ahead of a cold front along
with increased -SHRA potential by 07-08Z Monday. Winds today will
be primarily SW/SSW at 3-7 kts before increasing to 15-20 kts with
gusts 20-30 kts after 06-08Z Monday as direction switches to NW.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Low confidence on morning cigs/vsbys.
Medium confidence on cigs thereafter.
High confidence on other elements.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          69  51  63  28 /  20  30  40   0
Atlanta         72  47  59  26 /  20  60  40   0
Blairsville     64  37  51  18 /  30  70  20   0
Cartersville    73  42  56  23 /  20  70  20   0
Columbus        74  52  65  29 /  10  40  50   0
Gainesville     66  48  59  27 /  30  60  30   0
Macon           75  55  66  28 /  10  10  50   0
Rome            76  45  55  25 /  10  70  10   0
Peachtree City  73  47  61  25 /  10  50  40   0
Vidalia         76  59  70  32 /   0   0  30   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...RW