Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
068 FXUS64 KFWD 312304 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 604 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Quiet and warm weather continues through Monday. Low rain chances return Tuesday and Wednesday. - Scattered storms return to the forecast area-wide Thursday through Saturday (30-50% coverage). && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026 Weak riding over the Southern Plains will keep North and Central Texas precipitation free through tomorrow night. Moisture remains confined to the upper-levels of the atmosphere, therefore, high cirrus clouds will continue to stream from southwest to northeast. Unlike yesterday, a more relaxed surface pressure gradient will keep wind speeds below 12 mph with no significant gusts expected. Overnight, the tranquil weather conditions will persist as the mid-level ridge becomes more amplified. The slight strengthening of the ridge will yield a 1-2 degree uptick in temperatures on Monday compared to today with highs between 92-98 degrees across much of North and Central Texas. Heat index values will be 3-6 degrees warmer. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026 The ridge will begin to break down by the middle of the week as a trough moves into the West Coast. This trough will contain embedded shortwaves which will make their way towards our region. Slightly cooler weather can be expected Wednesday onward as highs remain in the mid 80s to lower 90s across North and Central Texas. With periodic shortwaves moving overhead, rain chances will return to the forecast Tuesday afternoon, mainly south of the I-20 corridor. As the trough slowly inches closer to our region, we`ll continue to see daily showers and storms develop atop our region with the higher precipitation chances mainly west of I-35. Shower and thunderstorm coverage through much of the week will be scattered at best. Not all locations will see rain every day, however, any areas that do experience multiple rounds of heavy rain may be at risk for flooding. A few strong storms will also be possible with gusty winds and small hail the main threats. Timing and location of specific hazards will continue to be assessed as we approach the latter half of the week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 601 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026 There are no aviation concerns through the period with VFR skies and predominantly south/southeast winds prevailing. Wind speeds will mostly be near or below 10 kts, with occasional daytime gusts up to 20 kts again tomorrow. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 77 96 78 97 / 0 0 0 10 Waco 75 93 75 94 / 0 0 0 20 Paris 74 93 73 93 / 0 0 0 10 Denton 76 95 75 94 / 0 0 0 10 McKinney 76 94 75 94 / 0 0 0 10 Dallas 78 98 79 98 / 0 0 0 10 Terrell 75 95 75 96 / 0 0 0 20 Corsicana 75 96 75 97 / 0 10 10 30 Temple 74 93 75 95 / 0 0 0 20 Mineral Wells 73 94 72 93 / 0 0 0 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Hernandez LONG TERM....Hernandez AVIATION...Stalley