Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
209 FXUS64 KFWD 011035 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 535 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Clouds and low rain chances (~20%) are expected today. - High pressure will bring clear skies, dry weather, and near to above average temperatures Sunday through next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday) Water vapor imagery shows an upper trough moving through the central CONUS tonight extending back to the southwest an across the TX Panhandle. As this feature moves east later tonight and Saturday, modest isentropic ascent will lead to lowering cloud heights and some scattered light precipitation across the region. Most of this activity will be very light rain or virga as we get into early Saturday morning, but as mid level lapse rates steepen a bit, we`ll likely see radar echoes become more convective in nature. This should lead to a few areas picking up some light rain through early afternoon. While instability will be limited, we can`t rule out a few lightning strikes with some of this activity. This disturbance will quickly move east this evening with skies clearing and another cool night in store with lows in the upper 30s and lower 40s. Sunny skies and near normal temperatures are expected on Sunday. Dunn && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Mid level ridging and broadly zonal flow will prevail throughout the central CONUS Sunday night into next week. This will keep the forecast quiet with temperatures steadily climbing through the week. Highs will run several degrees above normal Wednesday through Friday with readings in the upper 70s and lower 80s. A late week disturbance may swing through the Plains on Friday, but at this time, no significant change in the pattern is expected. Dunn && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Cloud cover continues to thicken and lower this morning with cigs generally running around 10 kft. Areas of light rain are noted on radar and this will likely overspread much of the region this morning with a good portion of the rain not actually reaching the ground. A few lightning strikes were noted well to the west of the major airports and we can`t rule out additional strikes through late morning. Otherwise, this system will move through quickly with clearing skies later this afternoon. Light southeast winds will become northeast through the day. VFR is expected tonight and Sunday. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 68 45 67 49 / 20 0 0 0 Waco 68 42 68 45 / 20 0 0 0 Paris 65 37 64 42 / 20 0 0 0 Denton 67 37 67 44 / 20 0 0 0 McKinney 67 40 66 44 / 20 0 0 0 Dallas 68 45 68 49 / 20 0 0 0 Terrell 68 40 67 43 / 20 0 0 0 Corsicana 69 44 68 46 / 20 0 0 0 Temple 69 42 70 43 / 30 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 69 40 72 44 / 20 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM... AVIATION...