119
FXUS63 KGID 091727
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1127 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A very pleasant day is expected across the area with highs in
  the mid 50s to mid 60s.

- Gusty northwest winds arrive behind a cold front this evening/tonight,
  gusting 30-40mph. Gusts of 45-50mph can`t be ruled out north
  of Highway 92.

- Near normal on Wednesday (highs 40s), with a large spread in
  highs possible on Thursday (highs 40s to upper 60s).

- Seasonably cool this weekend with highs in the 20s to low 30s.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 338 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Temperatures this morning are sitting in the upper 20s to upper 30s
under partly cloudy skies. Aloft the area is under northwesterly
flow, with the next shortwave/disturbance traversing through the
northern Rockies. A very pleasant day is in store for the area under
mostly sunny-partly cloudy skies. Similar to Monday, west-southwest
winds will favor downslope warming and result in temperatures on the
higher end of model guidance. Highs today will range from the mid
50s (northeast) to the mid 60s (southwest). Most areas reach
the 50s by noon! Winds will be breezy gusting 20-30mph,
strongest northwest of the Tri-Cities. Breezy winds and warm
temperatures could result in elevated fire weather conditions
this afternoon west of Highway 183.

A cold front dives into the area this evening, with scattered
sprinkles/light rain possible along/behind the front. Winds quickly
ramp up behind the frontal passage, gusting 30-40+mph, strongest
along/north of Highway 92 where gusts of 45-50mph can`t be ruled
out. Gusty winds continue throughout the overnight hours. After
sunrise, winds gradually decrease as the pressure gradient lessens
over the area with gusts falling below 15mph by the afternoon. A
cooler but still seasonable day is expected on Wednesday as highs
climb into the upper 30s to upper 40s.

Roller coaster temperatures continue on Thursday as a
stationary/warm front lifts north across the area. There remains
some uncertainty on the exact position of the front, which will have
a large impact on Thursday`s highs. GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate
a 15-20 degree spread in high temperatures across
central/northeastern portions of the area due to the uncertainty on
the location of the front. Along/north of the front, highs will be
confined to the 40s. South/southwest of the front in the warm
sector, highs soar into the mid 50s to mid/upper 60s! Otherwise the
forecast remains on track, with much colder air pushing into the
area Thursday night/Friday, setting up for a cold weekend with highs
in the 20s to low 30s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 211 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Skies have cleared across the area, and westerly winds are
pushing temperatures into the 40s and 50s. This continues
tomorrow, with stronger westerly winds pushing temperatures
into the 50s and 60s across the area. The most intense winds are
expected to remain over western Nebraska and South Dakota, but
locally gusts could still reach the 30 MPH in many areas. Clouds
increase late Tuesday, but any precipitation associated with a
clipper system should remain safely to our north and east.

Northwesterly winds will increase as a cold front pushes through
the area Tuesday evening into Tuesday night. Gusts around 40 MPH
will be possible in northern areas to start the day on
Wednesday, but will gradually diminish through the day.
Wednesday will be cooler in the post-frontal airmass (but not
particularly cold by December standards). There is still a low
chance (20-30%) for light precip (mainly snow) in northern areas
Wednesday night into Thursday morning, but the trend has been
downward on global ensembles runs.

Another quick-moving upper-level shortwave brings another
opportunity for flurries or light snow to the area Thursday
night, but otherwise the forecast remains quiet and dry through
the weekend and into next week. In fact, The GEFS and EPS
ensembles indicate a 50-90% chance of seeing LESS than 0.10" of
QPF through the next 10 days.

The shortwave Thursday night will push some colder air into the
region for Friday through the weekend. Single digit lows and
high temperatures in the 20s are expected for much of the area
(a touch warmer in the south and southwest).

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1123 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions are generally expected for the next 24 hours
although there is a slight chance of MVFR ceilings for KGRI
around 15z. Winds will be gusty out of the southwest to west
this afternoon then winds will decrease slightly around 00z out
of the west. Winds will become gusty out of the northwest
around/by 03z with gusts above 30 knots expected. Winds will
decrease by 15z out of the northwest. Wind shear is possible
this afternoon but is more likely around 00z through 15z.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Davis
DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Schuldt