826
FXUS63 KGID 260002
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
602 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Northwesterly winds will continue to gust around 50 to 60 MPH
  through the late afternoon hours with gradual improvement
  expected this evening. Winds should eventually fall to around
  15 MPH after midnight. The High Wind Warning remains in effect
  through 6 PM.

- Light snow is possible for parts of the area Friday through
  Monday. Significant snow accumulation appears unlikely, but
  some areas could see the first accumulating snow of the
  season. The best chance for some accumulating snowfall will
  come with a frontal passage Saturday.

- Below normal temperatures forecast through the period with
  subfreezing high temperatures and single-digit low
  temperatures possible Saturday-Monday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 601 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Gusty NW winds will stick around for a few more hours, but with
the threat of gusts exceeding 45+ having diminished, the High
Wind Warning was allowed to expire on time at 6PM. Otherwise no
notable changes were made to the forecast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 230 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

A cold front raced across the area this morning and very strong
winds are being realized in its wake. Given ample sunshine,
mixing has been maximized, and numerous gusts to near 60 MPH
have been observed across the area this afternoon. While winds
will gradually diminish (and become less gusty) this evening,
it will likely remain windy into the late evening hours, and
only subside to around 15 MPH by around midnight.

With the passage of the cold front today, an overall shift in
the general weather pattern is being observed across the area
with generally northwest flow aloft expected to persist for at
least the next week. This will result in below normal
temperatures through the period with some small chances for
precip returning (likely snow) Friday through Monday. At this
time, the best shot for widespread accumulating snowfall appears
to be Saturday, but several other small chances are expected.

Starting off with Wednesday, some models are indicating a weak
upper level disturbance will slide across the area during the
afternoon hours. While confidence in any precip is not high, did
put some silent near 10 percent chances for precip during the
afternoon hours. This would be trace amounts, and likely just a
few flurries if realized.

For Thanksgiving day, not a bad day is anticipated across the
area as very light winds will accompany the below normal temps
in the 40s. As we transition into Friday, models have been
keying in on a quick passing disturbance clipping eastern
Nebraska. Models have been pretty consistent keeping
precipitation out of our local area, but have some small pops in
there with the focus expected to be to our east. Trace amounts
of precip is all that is currently expected locally.

As we then transition into Saturday, a stronger upper level
system looks to be aimed towards the local area with a cold
front bringing another round of strong winds and a better
potential for some accumulating snowfall. In this fairly
progressive pattern, accumulations should be light, and the
current forecast only has around an inch of snow for Saturday
along the front. Would not be surprised for this to increase
some (maybe 2 or 3" in the most favored spots?), and with the
strong winds, there could be some notable impacts/reduced
visibilities at times during the daytime hours Saturday.

Thereafter...temperatures really fall behind Saturdays cold
front with several days of highs likely not topping freezing
along with lows in the teens. There will also be additional
small chances for light snow Sunday and Monday, but overall
confidence is not high over this period.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 601 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions are forecast for this TAF period. Will have some
lingering lower clouds streaming SE through the area over the
next couple of hours, but they are not expected to result in a
sub-VFR ceiling. The rest of the evening/overnight hours are
expected to be largely cloud-free...additional clouds will start
working their way in during the daytime hours on Wednesday. The
strong NWrly gusts will gradually diminish this evening, but
gusts in the 35-45 MPH range will remain possible for a couple
more hours. Once the gusts taper off, speeds through the rest of
the period look to be in the 10-15 MPH range. Not looking at
any notable swings in wind direction, remaining northwesterly
through the period.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...ADP
DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...ADP