559
FXUS63 KGID 091158
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
558 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A breezy and cold start to the day with wind chills ranging
  from 5 to 15 degrees through the morning hours. As winds
  diminish this evening, the coldest lows of the season (single
  digits to teens) are anticipated for Monday morning.

- After a modest warm-up on Monday, unseasonably warm
  temperatures return Tuesday afternoon and will continue
  through the end of the week. Several days of highs in the 60s
  to near 70 are expected Tue-Sat.

- Dry weather is anticipated all week with the next (small)
  chance for some light rain anticipated by Saturday night or
  Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 408 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Skies are clearing across the local area early this morning,
although some mid/high level clouds upstream of the region
should move across south central Nebraska and north central
Kansas through the morning hours. Once this cloud cover clears,
a mostly sunny (and chilly) afternoon is in store for the
region as cold air advection continues in northerly flow. In
addition to the cold temperatures, winds will likely remain
breezy through the afternoon hours ahead of an area of surface
high pressure that is forecast to settle across the area from
the north overnight tonight. This high will bring very light
winds to the region tonight, which combined with clear skies,
will allow temperatures to tank by early Monday morning.
Adjusted lows down for tonight, with many models indicating
temperatures could fall into the single digits across our
typically coolest spots, with widespread teens expected across
the remainder of the area.

As the surface ridge pushes southeast on Monday, southerly
return flow will help moderate temperatures across the area,
although Monday will still likely be on the cooler side, with
most areas not breaking out of the 40s. This should be the last
cold day for a while, however, as high pressure aloft then
shifts into the plains, steering subsequent upper level
disturbances well north and east of the local area and allows
temperatures to rebound into the 60s and 70s for the remainder
of the week.

Models begin to diverge next weekend with the handling of a
west coast trough/low, with the GFS looking much more favorable
for some precip returning over the weekend and the EC taking an
upper level low south of the area. Still plenty of time of
hammer out details for next weekend, but given a sizable number
of ensemble members of both the EC and GFS bring some precip
back to the area, slightly cooler temperatures and at least a
small chance for precip should return for at least the latter
half of next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 534 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Mainly VFR conditions anticipated through the period.

Skies have mostly cleared across the region this morning with
some high level clouds approaching the terminals from the north
and some low level clouds expanding south across north central
Nebraska the past couple of hours. As the sun angle increases
later this morning, expect the low clouds to the north of the
terminals to dissipate with mostly clear skies expected this
afternoon. That said, could see a brief MVFR CIG...especially
at KGRI...if they are able to expand far enough south over the
next hour before the sun comes up. Otherwise...VFR conditions
should prevail the remainder of the period with breezy northwest
winds this afternoon gusting to around 25 KTS...before becoming
light late in the day as surface high pressure builds in across
the local area.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SR
AVIATION...SR