916
FXUS63 KGID 281139
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
639 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Fog is expected across mainly north central Kansas and areas
  west of Highway 281 until around 9 or 10 AM this morning. Some
  locations may experience visibilities down to 1/4 of a mile.

- Various rain and storm chances will be across portions of the
  area today and again Friday afternoon through early to mid
  next week. Although widespread severe weather is not expected
  at this time, a few strong storms are possible this weekend.

- High temperatures through Wednesday will range from the upper
  60s to mid 80s. Low temperatures will generally range from the
  mid 50s to low 60s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 417 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025

Today and tonight...

A big upper trough is over the eastern half of the country with
Nebraska and Kansas on the backside of the trough. This trough along
with associated shortwaves have resulted in an increase in upper
lift across the area. This has resulted in showers and thunderstorms
across Kansas and into south central Nebraska. The greater lift is
across Kansas where convection is stronger and more widespread. Fog
has developed across mainly western portions of the area west of
Highway 281 with light east to southeast winds. Some locations may
experience visibilities down to a 1/4 mile. The fog should clear by
9 or 10 AM. The rain and storms are expected to continue across the
area today decreasing in coverage and intensity by this afternoon.
The area most likely to receive showers and storms is across north
central Kansas and areas of south central Nebraska that are
southwest of Kearney. High temperatures today will range from the
upper 60s to upper 70s with the coolest conditions across north
central Kansas. Winds this afternoon will be out of the east to
southeast and will generally be less than 15 MPH. Low temperatures
tonight will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Friday through Wednesday...

Southerly winds are expected on Friday across south central and
central Nebraska and north central Kansas. Temperatures will warm up
into the mid 70s to near 80 degrees. An approaching shortwave will
result in showers and thunderstorms moving into the area from the
northwest Friday into Friday night. Low temperatures Friday night
will be similar to the previous night. A shortwave trough along with
an approaching cold front will be across the area on Saturday. This
will result in continued chances (up to near 70%) of showers and
storms Saturday and Saturday night. High temperatures on Saturday
will be in the mid 70s to the low 80s. Low temperatures Saturday
night will range from the mid 50s to low 60s. Additional shortwaves
will move over/near the area on Sunday into Sunday night which will
result in continued rain and storm chances (up to near 50%).
Temperatures Sunday and Sunday night will be similar to the previous
day and night.

Rain and storm chances will decrease to 15% to near 25% Monday into
Monday night as the upper lift moves further south. The area will
remain on the backside of an upper trough on Monday with northerly
winds. Not much change in temperatures is expected for Monday and
Monday night. Temperatures will increase slightly on Tuesday with
highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s as the surface high moves further
away. A cold front will move into the area on Wednesday resulting in
high temperatures in the low 70s to upper 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 633 AM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Low visibilities are expected at KEAR until around 15z. Brief
visibilities down to 1/4 mile are possible. Visibilities may
drop at KGRI but the timing is more uncertain. Ceilings will
improve some this morning but won`t likely reach VFR until 18z.
Low ceilings are again possible tonight around or after 09z but
confidence is low at this time. Winds will generally vary
between northeast and southeast through 03z then switch to the
south by 06z.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for NEZ060-061-
     072>074-082>084.
KS...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for KSZ005-006-
     017-018.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Schuldt