050
FXUS63 KGID 100531
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1131 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A High Wind Warning is in effect from 6 PM this evening to 6
  AM Wednesday along and north of a line from Sherman County to
  Polk County.

- There is around a 10% chance of light rain and/or sprinkles
  this evening.

- Highly variable temperatures are expected. The coldest
  temperatures will be this weekend with warming conditions
  beginning Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 236 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Today through tonight...

A broad upper trough is over the eastern 1/2 to 2/3rds of the
country with upper ridging over California extending to southwest
Texas. A shortwave trough embedded within the upper trough is moving
over the northern Plains/upper Midwest with an associated surface
low extending southward towards west Texas and eastern New Mexico.
The surface low has resulted in southwest to west winds across south
central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas. This has also
resulted in a warm up across the area with high temperatures today
expected to be in the 50s and 60s. A cold front will move into the
area this evening into tonight as the shortwave moves southeastward.
This front will bring gusty northwest winds across the area this
evening and tonight. Sustained winds of 20 to 40 MPH are expected
with gusts of 30 to 60 MPH. A High Wind Warning is in effect along
and north of a line from Sherman to Polk County from 6 PM this
evening to 6 AM Wednesday. Some sprinkles or light rain showers may
occur this evening (around a 10% chance) as the front moves into the
area. Low temperatures tonight will be in the upper 20s to mid 30s.

Wednesday and Wednesday night...

South central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas will be
on the backside of the upper trough on Wednesday. Winds will
initially be gusty out of the northwest then will weaken and switch
to the south during the evening. Temperatures will be cooler with
highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s on Wednesday. Some models are
indicating an increase in upper lift across portions of northeast
and east Nebraska Wednesday evening and night with precipitation
developing into central and south central Nebraska (mainly for
locations along and north and east of the Tri-Cities). The NAM12
does not indicate this increase in upper lift; therefore, is not
showing any precipitation in central or eastern Nebraska. The GFS
does indicate the increase in upper lift and is showing
precipitation Wednesday evening and night across the above mentioned
locations. If this precipitation develops and moves across portions
of the area, some of it may be in the form of snow due to overnight
temperatures Wednesday night cooling into the mid 20s to mid 30s.
Any snow accumulations are expected to be light.

Thursday and Thursday night...

The previously mentioned upper trough is expected to move further
east on Thursday, and a surface trough will move into Nebraska and
Kansas from the west. This surface trough is expected to create a
large temperature gradient across Nebraska and Kansas. There is
quite a bit of uncertainty in high temperatures on Thursday due to
the placement of this gradient. At this time, expect highs on
Thursday to range from the upper 40s in the northeastern part of the
forecast area to the upper 60s in the southwest. Winds on Thursday
will switch to the west (in the warm sector) then to the north later
in the day/evening as a cold front begins to move into the area. Low
temperatures Thursday night will range from the low 20s in the north
to the mid 30s in the south.

Friday through Monday...

A surface high will be across the area on Friday with northerly
winds across south central and central Nebraska and north central
Kansas. High temperatures behind the cold front on Friday are
expected to range from the low 30s to mid 40s. Winds will switch to
the east and southeast Friday night with temperatures dropping to
around 11 degrees to the low/mid 20s. Another cold front is expected
to push into the area on Saturday with high temperatures only in the
low 20s to low 40s. Low temperatures Saturday night will be in the
single digits to low teens. High temperatures on Sunday will be
similar to those on Saturday. Low temperatures Sunday night are
expected to be in the teens and low 20s. A warm up is in store for
Monday with the surface high moving further east. High temperatures
on Monday are expected to be in the low 40s to low/mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1124 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Northwest winds sustained around 25-30kts, gusting 35-40kts
will continue overnight. LLWS is expected to continue through
the early morning hours. Winds start to decrease around 10-12z
(first at KEAR), and gradually decrease through the mid-late
morning hours, with gusts falling below 20kts during the early
afternoon hours. Winds become light and variable during the
mid-late afternoon as they shift to the southeast. Skies clear
tonight, with FEW-SCT mid-high level clouds during the day on
Wednesday. BKN-OVC ceilings of 050-100 arrive Wednesday evening.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...High Wind Warning until 6 AM CST Wednesday for NEZ039>041-
     046>049.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Davis