377
FXUS65 KGJT 030533
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1033 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rivers across southwest CO and southeast UT remain high due to
  runoff. Several flood warnings will be in effect through
  Tuesday morning.

- Tuesday will be dry with below normal temperatures.

- A system is expected on Wednesday into Thursday morning. It
  will bring valley rain and mountain snow to the area. Amounts
  are generally minor.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 853 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Isolated snow showers are possible in the mountains overnight
with minor accumulations. Other than that most locations will be
dry and that continues into tomorrow. Given so much moisture
and limited sun today, patchy fog is certainly possible in the
favorable spots tonight. Tomorrow will be partly cloudy with
temperatures 5-10 degrees below normal. This break will be short
lived, as another low pressure works across the region on
Wednesday. While moisture remains unimpressive with this system,
a few showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday
afternoon and overnight. Given the saturated soil there is
concern for any additional rainfall. As of now the precipitation
amounts are minor in comparison to the last event. Although
thunderstorms could produce the rates for localized issues. We
will continue to monitor this situation. The mountains should
pick up another couple inches of snow too before the
precipitation comes to an end Thursday morning.

Models continue to sell broad high pressure building across the
region to close out the week. This should help streamflows and soils
to dry out. Temperatures will remain cooler than normal, but a
slight warm up is expected this weekend ahead of a potential pattern
shift early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1033 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Isolated showers continue to rotate southward in the wrap around
moisture in this departing storm. This flow and mositure is also
keeping lower clouds pinned into the mountain TAF sites with VFR
passing in and out at KTEX. Expect clouds to decrease overnight
which will bring in a threat of fog and/or stratus with plenty
of near ground layer moisture in place. Low confidence of this
occurring and only have mention at the moment and not in the
prevailing forecast.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 853 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Many rivers across southwest Colorado remain above flood stage.
As these crests work downstream water levels will receded at
some locations and rise at others. Most of the rivers in
Colorado will be out of flood stage in the next 24 hours. All of
this water will eventually move down the San Juan river in
Utah. This portion of the river is expected to be above flood
stage Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight MST tonight for COZ004.
UT...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT
HYDROLOGY...TGJT