786
FXUS65 KGJT 020511
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1111 PM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High pressure builds into the region and temperatures trend
  upward to about five degrees above normal through the weekend.

- Isolated storms are possible across the higher terrain Tuesday
  with mostly dry conditions elsewhere.

- Dry conditions return mid to late week with high temperatures
  warming to 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1030 PM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

High pressure remains in control Friday into the weekend with
drier conditions and warming temperatures to about 5 degrees
above normal. Hurricane Rachel looms just off the Baja and it
appears like the high pressure will remain in position to keep
this moisture from advecting northward. With the high
positioned over the Great Basin and Hurricane Rachel off the
Baja, it almost forms a Rex Block. Some high level moisture will
move into the area from a trough moving towards the west coast,
resulting in some high cirrus across the region this weekend.
Models are indicating some isolated storms potentially forming
over the San Juans Sunday afternoon. This eastern Pacific trough
opens up and moves over top of the ridge on Tuesday as an open
shortwave with some isolated to scattered storms possible over
the high terrain. Aside from that, conditions will remain mostly
dry through the coming week. The high will build back to the
west which further steers Hurricane Rachel westward out to sea.
High pressure ridge will shift eastward and remain overhead for
the remainder of the week with a Pacific Northwest trough
helping steer remnants of this tropical system up and around the
high and keeping us warm and dry through the remainder of the
week. High temperatures remain 5 to 10 degrees above normal
through the first week of October.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1109 PM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Mostly clear skies and light winds will keep VFR conditions in
place over the next 24 hours. However there remains a low
probability of low clouds and stratus forming in some of the
favored spots overnight so will be monitoring this and updating
as necessary.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...None.
UT...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MDA
AVIATION...TGJT