992
FNUS75 KGJT 091122
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Dry Canyon...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
522 AM MDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on October 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Expect isolated showers and thunderstorms this
morning becoming scattered this afternoon. Deep tropical moisture
moves into the area tonight through Saturday night bringing
numerous showers producing periods of heavy rain leading to
possible flash flooding. Isolated embedded thunderstorms will
accompany these showers. A cooler, wetter pattern continues
Sunday through mid next week with isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms each day.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    scattered showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to good in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 5700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 14 mph.
Clearing Index......410 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................70 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6000-21000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 mph.
Clearing Index......170.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the morning. Rain showers through the day.
                    Scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................80 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........70-75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (26000-30000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 mph.
Clearing Index......540.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster...David Byers
Requested by...Scott McCreary
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523161.2/GJT
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scottmccreary79@gmail.com,scott.mccreary@usda.gov