Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC
Issued by NWS Greer, SC
831
FNUS72 KGSP 152348
FWSGSP
Spot Forecast for Wrights Fire...BIA
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
648 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 EST on November 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Cold front will lead to development of gusty winds overnight and
Sunday morning, but the burn location appears to be in a valley that
should be sheltered to some degree from the wind. Cooler Sunday but
with the dry nature of the air behind the front, relative humidity
likely will fall to near 30 percent, possibly lower if mixing is
any deeper than forecast.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Increasing clouds, with increasing rain chances
after midnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Around 7 mph with gusts of 18 to 22 mph
developing. Initially southwest, shifting to
west overnight and west-northwest by daybreak.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming poor (10933 mph-ft) late in the night.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................5 to 14.
Stability class.....5.
Pcpn amount.........Likely not more than a couple hundredths of
an inch.
Ceiling (FT)........Initially 9000 to 11000 ft, developing below
3000 ft after midnight.
Visibility (SM).....As low as 5 miles in light rain and
possibly fog.
Sfc pressure (in)...26.19.
TIME (EST) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44 41 38 50 61 76 91 90 89 90 91
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............54 54 54 53 54 54 54 53 54 54 53
Dewpoint........47 48 48 49 49 49 50 51 52 52 53
RH..............78 78 82 85 84 85 86 92 92 95 100
20 FT wind dir..SW SW W W W W W W W NW NW
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.18 17 20 21 21 22 23 23 22 22 21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW W SW W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.12 12 13 13 14 14 16 16 16 15 15
LVORI...........4 4 4 5 4 4 4 5 5 6 7
ADI.............5 8 6 6 12 12 14 14 14 10 10
VRate mph-ft/1k.12 11 12 12 14 17 19 16 17 14 15
Ceiling (hft)...90 250 110 250 70 29 24 25 23 24 24
Visibility (sm).9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5
Sfc pres (in)...631 630 630 629 627 626 624 622 621 619 619
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy with fog and possible showers early,
but chances taper off by 9 AM and skies
should clear by around noon. Cooler.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
in the morning.
Mixing height.......Up to 3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 23 mph shifting to the north
around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming excellent (75957 mph-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................20 early in the morning increasing to 78 in the
afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........Not likely more than a couple hundredths of
an inch.
Ceiling (FT)........Below 3000 with the morning clouds, becoming
unlimited.
Visibility (SM).....Initially 5 to 6 miles, becoming unlimited
by 8-9 AM.
Sfc pressure (in)...26.19.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92 92 76 60 42 24 18 9 7 7 3 5
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............54 53 52 52 53 56 57 58 56 55 53 50
Dewpoint........53 53 52 51 50 45 40 35 32 28 25 25
RH..............96 100 100 99 90 67 54 42 39 35 33 38
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 8 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 12
20 FT wind gust.21 18 21 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 18 17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 1.2 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.0 1.8
Transp wind dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
Transp wind spd.15 14 15 18 21 22 23 23 22 23 20 14
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............22 20 22 50 63 52 55 58 55 78 62 31
VRate mph-ft/1k.18 16 18 42 56 65 69 76 73 76 58 25
Ceiling (hft)...23 24 30 26 30 30 30 250 250 250 250 250
Visibility (sm).5 6 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Sfc pres (in)...619 619 621 624 626 625 625 624 624 625 625 627
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......Falling to 700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming poor (7135 mph-ft) by midnight.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 to 8.
Stability class.....6.
Pcpn amount.........None.
Ceiling (FT)........25000 decreasing to 100 early in the evening.
Visibility (SM).....9 in the evening and overnight.
Sfc pressure (in)...26.29.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5 8 9 10 10 9 8 7 7 8 8 9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............46 44 43 42 40 39 38 37 36 35 35 34
Dewpoint........25 26 24 24 24 23 21 20 19 18 18 17
RH..............44 47 47 49 51 51 51 50 50 50 49 50
20 FT wind dir..NW N NW NW NW N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..10 9 8 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1
20 FT wind gust.17 15 15 13 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.13 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 12 12 10
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
VRate mph-ft/1k.17 11 11 11 11 10 8 7 8 8 8 7
Ceiling (hft)...250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250
Visibility (sm).9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Sfc pres (in)...629 630 631 632 633 633 633 633 634 635 635 637
$$
Forecaster...JCW
Requested by...Dave Collins
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526017.0/GSP
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0