Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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595
FXUS61 KGYX 131747
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
147 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Broad low pressure along the Mid-Atlantic coast will showers,
gusty winds, and high surf through Tuesday. The low will
eventually push well out to sea by a front midweek. Cooler
temperatures arrive Wednesday and Thursday, particularly for the
mountains. Much warmer temperatures are foreseen this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1730z, the center of low pressure was located off the
south Jersey coast. Radar and satellite imagery are showing that
dry air is getting entrained into the system which has made
measurable rainfall a bit hard to come by in many areas of the
CWA today. Aside from a few bands of moderate rainfall possibly
occurring over southern NH this evening, this storms seems
pretty much kicked in terms of moisture across New England with
dry high pressure just to our north. Have lowered PoPs for the
rest of the afternoon and evening hours with mainly light
showers and some drizzle expected along with occasionally gusty
northeast winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Low pressure gradually moves away from Northern New England
Tuesday with much lower PoPs, lighter winds, and warmer
temperatures expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
On Wednesday, an upper-level low develops over the Canadian
Maritimes, creating a mid-level trough across the Northeast. As this
trough moves southward, a weak frontal boundary also moves southward
and will allow for some isolated showers to move through the area in
the first half of the day Wednesday.  In the wake of this front,
breezy northwest winds are likely and will make the second half of
Wednesday feel chilly.

The development of the aforementioned upper-level low will also
translate to a chilly and cloudier 2nd half of the week. Thursday
will likely be the coldest day, with highs in the upper 40s and
lower 50s. The breezy winds continue into Thursday and may even be a
hair stronger than on Wednesday.

The colder weather on Thursday will be short-lived, as a ridge
slowly moves in for the weekend. Winds should be a little less
breezy, and temperatures should be back into the 60s. Dry weather is
expected through the 1st half of the weekend, but low pressure moves
in on Sunday and should allow for a wet and unsettled early next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Short Term...Borderline VFR/MVFR conditions expected at most
terminals this evening, tonight, and Tuesday with occasionally
brief periods of IFR across southern NH tonight. Northeast winds
continue but lessen considerably tonight and Tuesday.

Long Term...
Some restrictions cant be ruled out Wednesday with a few isolated
showers. Otherwise, VFR is expected in the 2nd half of the week.
&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...Large waves hang on through tonight, beginning to
slowly subside on Tuesday. Gale conditions will tend to slacken
late tonight. Gusts for much of the waters remain 25 to 30 kt
into early Tues morning, but become less than 20kt as winds
shift north then NW Tues afternoon.

Long Term...
Northwesterly winds at 20-30kts is expected Wednesday through Friday
morning. Seas should be around 4-7ft in the second half of the week.
Winds and seas look to gradually slacken over the weekend with
light southwesterly winds at 6-12kts and seas near 2-4ft.
&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Steady easterly winds will build water along the coast through
tonight, coinciding with high surf and astronomical tides
around 10 to 10.5 ft (at CASM1). The result may bring splashover
surrounding the time of high tides.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Tuesday for MEZ023>027.
NH...High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Tuesday for NHZ014.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Tuesday for ANZ150-151-153.
     Gale Warning until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ152-154.

&&

$$


NEAR TERM...Ekster
SHORT TERM...Ekster
LONG TERM...Palmer