Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
042 FXUS66 KHNX 250921 AFDHNX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 121 AM PST Tue Nov 25 2025 && .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Dense Fog Advisory issued for the San Joaquin Valley valid from 12AM Tuesday morning through 1 PM Thursday due to persistent chances for fog each night and morning through that timeframe. 2. Temperatures near to just below season averages through the week. Low probability for freezing temperatures in the Mojave Desert for much of the week, high probability for the Sierra Nevada. 3. Indications for a low pressure system over the western US to end the month, though uncertainty remains for exact location and impacts for central California. && .DISCUSSION... The stratus hung around on Monday leading to temperatures to hover at or below 50 degrees. However, visibilities have not been able to get down to a quarter mile this morning as easily due to the overcast skies. Latest ensembles have the clouds lifting a little bit but ceilings are expected to remain below 1000 feet. The NBM has at least 90 percent chance of highs climbing to at least 55 degrees today. This cloudy and foggy pattern is thanks due to a ridge of high pressure that is strengthening off the coast. However, the setup has cold air flowing over the area along with the subsidence which favors the stratus and fog from not lifting or dissipating as quickly. The latest ensembles have a trough sliding in late Friday into the weekend bringing a change with cooler temperatures. However, despite lowering snow levels, this system looks to be drier as the upper level flows will be more from interior British Columbia and not the Gulf of Alaska. There is a 25 percent chance or less of 6 inches of snow with this system above 6,000 feet along with a 20 percent chance of an inch of snow over Tehachapi. && .AVIATION... IFR ceilings are expected to persist throughout the Valley through at least 18Z Tuesday, with visibilities mostly in IFR and LIFR with sporadic improvements through at least 18Z. After 18Z, the ceilings would improve to IFR to MVFR with visibilities in MVFR until about 06Z Wednesdays before falling back to IFR to lIFR. && .AIR QUALITY ISSUES... On Tuesday November 25 2025, Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status is: No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, and Tulare Counties. Burning Discouraged in Merced County and Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia National Park and Forest. && .CERTAINTY... The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium. Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback. && .HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 1 PM PST Thursday for CAZ301>303- 305>307-309>312-314-315. && $$ JPK weather.gov/hanford