Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
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331 FXUS64 KHUN 050603 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 103 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 915 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 - Medium to high chances (40-70%) of showers and thunderstorms return Sunday through Thursday. && .NEAR TERM... (Rest of tonight and Friday) Issued at 915 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 High pressure remains centered across the Southeast resulting in tranquil conditions tonight for the Tennessee Valley. Light winds and mostly clear skies are forecast this evening with the exception of some high clouds streaming in from the west. With ideal radiational cooling conditions, temperatures will fall into the upper 50s to lower 60s. We end the workweek with a beautiful summer day for early June. Surface high pressure remains to our east, keeping the upper level ridge over the Southeast. Another warm day is in store with afternoon temperatures rising into the low to mid 80s. && .SHORT TERM... (Friday night through Sunday) Issued at 915 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 Not much change in the local weather pattern as we head into the weekend. With high pressure overhead and underneath the aformentioned upper level ridge, dry and mild conditions are forecast on Saturday. Expect afternoon highs to warm into the mid to upper 80s and overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s. By the second half of the weekend, the sfc high pressure will slowly shift to the east bringing in a more moisture rich airmass off the Gulf. As a result, diurnally driven thunderstorms return to the forecast with low to medium chances (40-60%) on Sunday afternoon. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through Thursday) Issued at 915 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026 High pressure will shift east of the Tennessee Valley next week as an unsettled pattern returns. Deep southwesterly flow will really begin to advect in a warm, moist air mass on the western edge of the ridge. This is evidenced by dewpoints returning to the upper 60s to lower 70s by Sunday. Diurnally driven convection will develop each day (40-80% chance), with the greatest coverage occurring during the afternoon and evening hours. Convection on Monday and Tuesday will also be aided by a passing shortwave trough over the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys that will clip our area. Given the moist environment, all of these storms will be capable of producing locally heavy downpours. Otherwise, warm/muggy conditions which fairly typical for early June as daytime highs reach the mid to upper 80s each day. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 103 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026 A broken layer of Ci will spread northeastward across northern AL early in the TAF period, but should begin to disperse later this morning, permitting sufficient insolation for the development of sct fair-weather Cu based arnd 4 kft. Although the presence of the high clouds should not prevent development of patchy BR/FG near large bodies of water, confidence in vsby reductions at either HSV or MSL is not high enough to include in the TAFs attm. Sfc winds will remain calm thru sunrise, but should assume a SSW component at 5-10 kts by 16Z. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...GH SHORT TERM...GH LONG TERM...AMP AVIATION...70/DD