480
FXUS63 KICT 251123
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
623 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near to above average temperatures over the upcoming week

- Rain chances increase this afternoon across central KS;
  chances spread into south-central KS by Monday night

- More rain chances by late next week into next weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

As of 230 AM Sunday morning, a slow-moving midlevel trough remains
across the southwest US with ridging across the central and eastern
CONUS. A northern stream midlevel shortwave trough was advancing
across Ontario with an attendant surface trough bisecting KS from
southwest to northeast. Widely scattered showers continue to reside
across far western KS and CO within a broad zone of midlevel WAA and
gentle height falls. The midlevel height falls will gradually spread
eastward this afternoon and tonight. This will spread rain chances
into portions of central KS late this afternoon into the evening.
These widely scattered showers will continue tonight and into Monday
with the best chances remaining across central and western KS. More-
widespread rain shower activity is anticipated Monday afternoon as
the main shortwave trough ejects into the central high Plains. Rain
chances will extend to the I-135 corridor Monday afternoon and even
towards southeast KS late Monday night into Tuesday morning a
secondary weak shortwave trough lifts from west TX into the Ozarks.
As far as rain amounts are concerns, areas generally along and
southeast of the KS Turnpike will see the lightest amounts with
totals near or less than 0.10". As we progress westward and into
central KS, amounts up to 0.50" are possible, especially across
Barton and Russell counties.

Transitioning into midweek, broad southwesterly midlevel flow will
remain as another western CONUS trough deepens. Broad low and
midlevel WAA may continue to yield isolated to scattered showers
especially at night. By weeks-end and into next week, a series of
weak perturbations may eject across the area, resulting in
intermittent rain chances.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 622 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. Light and
variable winds across central KS will become southerly at all
sites with speeds around 10 kt. Scattered rain showers are
possible after 00Z across central KS and have opted for VCSH at
RSL and GBD from 00-12Z.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BRB
AVIATION...BRB