Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
624
FNUS52 KILM 140756
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
356 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will build westward across the area and
dominate the weather through the middle of next week. Warm and
humid conditions will make at least scattered showers and storms
possible each day.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-150000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
356 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 70
Max/Min Temp 86 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 73 98 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 7 G18 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G19 SW 6 SW 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.47 0.15 0.12
Precip Duration 3 2 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 1900 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 3900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60900 66300
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 21 Fair 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 11 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-150000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
356 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 50 80
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 70
Max/Min Temp 86 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 71 99 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 S 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.30 0.16 0.10
Precip Duration 4 1 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 1900 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57800 79200
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 10 Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90.
Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-150000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
356 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 70
Max/Min Temp 88 72 90
Min/Max RH (%) 66 98 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 G17 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G18 SW 5 SW 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.47 0.14 0.11
Precip Duration 3 2 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 1900 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71400 68000
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 61 Good
ADI Late 61 Good 10 Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-150000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
356 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 70
Max/Min Temp 87 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 66 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.23 0.15 0.10
Precip Duration 3 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 5000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68000 100000
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor 63 Good
ADI Late 61 Good 9 Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ