Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
133
FNUS52 KILM 221906
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Typical summertime pattern with warm and humid conditions
generally expected. Afternoon heat indices will approach or even
exceed Heat Advisory thresholds (105-109 degrees) for many areas
much of the period with a weak cold frontal passage Monday night
possibly bringing some relief on Tuesday.
Fog potential for tonight is Low, except Low to Moderate well
inland.
NCZ105>110-231115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 60
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 3 4
Min/Max Temp 72 92 74 96
Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 96 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 S 6 S 8 G19 SW 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 10 G19 SW 7 G18 SW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.17
Precip Duration 2 2 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0800 2100 78/0700
Dispersion Fair Good
Haines Index 4 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 5100
Transport Wind (mph) S 21 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105000 91800
ADI Early 63 Good 65 Good 58 Gen Good 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 79 Good 17 Gen Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 9 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-231115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 72 93 74 96
Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 98 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 S 5 S 6 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 8 SW 4 SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.12
Precip Duration 2 1 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 77/0800 2100 77/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5500
Transport Wind (mph) S 20 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 104000 99000
ADI Early 75 Good 66 Good 69 Good 71 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 81 Good 11 Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-231115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 72 93 75 97
Max/Min RH (%) 99 50 96 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 8 S 5 S 7 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 S 8 S 6 W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.02 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 74/0700 2100 78/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6600
Transport Wind (mph) S 17 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96900 112200
ADI Early 86 Good 60 Gen Good 62 Good 69 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 75 Good 13 Gen Poor 103 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-231115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 30 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 72 90 74 97
Max/Min RH (%) 100 58 97 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 S 5 S 7 G18 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 9 G18 SW 5 G17 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.08
Precip Duration 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 77/0800 2100 78/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 7100
Transport Wind (mph) S 18 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81000 127800
ADI Early 67 Good 53 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 71 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 12 Poor 105 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-231115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 40 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 71 92 73 96
Max/Min RH (%) 100 54 98 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 S 4 S 5 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 S 4 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.03 0.03
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 76/0800 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 7400
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65800 148000
ADI Early 80 Good 49 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 73 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 9 Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-231115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 72 93 75 97
Max/Min RH (%) 100 49 98 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 S 4 S 6 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 6 S 5 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.01
Precip Duration 0 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 8000
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81000 144000
ADI Early 73 Good 44 Gen Good 58 Gen Good 83 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 65 Good 10 Poor 126 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 9 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Bright