Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
778
FNUS52 KILM 051153
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
753 AM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably hot and humid weather will continue with heat
indices peaking around 105 to 110 degrees today. A cold front
will arrive late in the day with showers and thunderstorms, a few
of which could produce damaging winds. Some rain chances will
remain into early next week as the front lingers nearby with drier
conditions expected toward mid week as high pressure builds in
from the north.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low to Moderate, greatest inland.
NCZ105>110-060100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
753 AM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 60
Max/Min Temp 98 71 89
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 68
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 4 SW 5 NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.42 0.16
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM
Precip End 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/0900 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 3500
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 NE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66000 31500
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 9 Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 62 Good 6 Very Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 8
Max LVORI Late 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-060100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
753 AM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 70
Max/Min Temp 99 71 89
Min/Max RH (%) 47 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 4 Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.36 0.16
Precip Duration 4 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 3 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 4100
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 NE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 36900
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 68 Good 5 Very Poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 6 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 50 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-060100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
753 AM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 70
Max/Min Temp 97 72 91
Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.41 0.27
Precip Duration 3 1
Precip Begin 8 PM 1 PM
Precip End 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 4000
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49600 32000
ADI Early 31 Fair 7 Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 48 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 26 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 5 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
58 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-060100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
753 AM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 60
Max/Min Temp 97 71 91
Min/Max RH (%) 45 100 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.31 0.24
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 4600
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53600 36800
ADI Early 34 Fair 5 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 6 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a
chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$