Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
175
FNUS52 KILM 150634
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
234 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather returns today and continues through Thursday. Cooler
temperatures will begin to gradually warm later this week. Warm
and humid conditions are expected this weekend with increasing
rain chances.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-151945-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
234 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 61 87
Min/Max RH (%) 40 86 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 G19 NE 5 G17 NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 8 G18 NE 4 NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0600 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 14 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72800 70800
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 7 Poor 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 69 Good 5 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-151945-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
234 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 61 87
Min/Max RH (%) 41 87 35
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0600 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5600
Transport Wind (mph) NE 13 NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63700 56000
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 69 Good 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 90.
Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-151945-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
234 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 62 86
Min/Max RH (%) 42 84 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 G21 E 4 G17 NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 8 G21 Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0600 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5700
Transport Wind (mph) NE 14 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74200 68400
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 7 Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-151945-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
234 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 60 87
Min/Max RH (%) 43 84 35
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0600 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 6000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52000 60000
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 61 Good 5 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Light
winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21