Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
046
FNUS52 KILM 010624
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
224 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain generally dry weather and warming
temperatures into Saturday morning. Moisture levels will be on
the rise over the weekend ahead of a cold front which will lead to
moderate to high rain chances Saturday afternoon through Monday.
Cooler and drier conditions are expected starting Monday night.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-011930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
224 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 89 63 91
Min/Max RH (%) 46 100 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 78/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40600 49500
ADI Early 22 Fair 5 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 40 Fair 3 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 86 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-011930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
224 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 89 64 91
Min/Max RH (%) 37 100 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 6100
Transport Wind (mph) S 7 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43400 54900
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Not as warm.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 87 percent. Chance of
precipitation 80 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-011930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
224 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 65 90
Min/Max RH (%) 47 100 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 78/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 44000
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 37 Fair 3 Very Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 2 10 3
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 88 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-011930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
224 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 64 91
Min/Max RH (%) 37 100 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6000
Transport Wind (mph) S 6 SW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36600 42000
ADI Early 12 Poor 4 Very Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 89 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$