Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
191
FNUS52 KILM 151858
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will build westward across the area and
dominate the weather through the middle of next week. Warm and
humid conditions will make at least scattered showers and storms
possible each day.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-161100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 50 40
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 50 40
Min/Max Temp 72 90 73 91
Max/Min RH (%) 94 66 98 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 6 SW 6 G17 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 7 G18 SW 5 SW 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.02 0.23 0.22 0.04
Precip Duration 1 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 80/0900 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61200 81600
ADI Early 21 Fair 44 Gen Good 26 Fair 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 58 Gen Good 9 Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-161100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 60 50
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 50 50
Min/Max Temp 72 90 73 92
Max/Min RH (%) 95 63 99 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 5 S 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 6 SW 4 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.11 0.18 0.34 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 5 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 2000 76/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 90100
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 42 Gen Good 14 Gen Poor 62 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 56 Gen Good 10 Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6 6
Max LVORI Late 6 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 40 40
Chance Thunder (%) 30 40 40 40
Min/Max Temp 73 91 74 92
Max/Min RH (%) 95 62 96 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 G17 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 7 G18 SW 5 SW 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.04 0.08 0.07 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 80/0900 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 5000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 80000
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good 22 Fair 62 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 57 Gen Good 10 Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 50 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 50 50 40
Min/Max Temp 72 91 73 92
Max/Min RH (%) 95 59 97 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 6 SW 4 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.02 0.07 0.11 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 1 AM Continuing 2 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 5400
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 91800
ADI Early 23 Fair 40 Fair 21 Fair 71 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 63 Good 9 Poor 107 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$