Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
958
FNUS52 KILM 150738
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
338 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will build westward across the area and
dominate the weather through the middle of next week. Warm and
humid conditions will make at least scattered showers and storms
possible each day.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-152345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
338 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 50
Max/Min Temp 88 72 90
Min/Max RH (%) 64 99 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 6 G18 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 5 SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.07 0.04 0.24
Precip Duration 2 2 5
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57800 74800
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 64 Good
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 11 Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-152345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
338 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 60 60 50
Max/Min Temp 89 72 90
Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.06 0.10 0.25
Precip Duration 3 2 4
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 12 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78200 75200
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 12 Poor 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 79 Good 8 Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-152345-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
338 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 60 40 50
Max/Min Temp 89 72 91
Min/Max RH (%) 62 99 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 5 G17 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 4 SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.05 0.03 0.12
Precip Duration 2 1 4
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 1900 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64500 89600
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 69 Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 9 Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-152345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
338 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 50 60
Chance Thunder (%) 60 50 50
Max/Min Temp 89 71 91
Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 4 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.05 0.04 0.06
Precip Duration 2 2 4
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 12 PM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72000 89600
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 14 Gen Poor 67 Good
ADI Late 84 Good 8 Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA