Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
430
FNUS52 KILM 031818
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
118 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring dry weather tonight and Thursday. Rain
chances will increase substantially Friday as a storm system takes
shape to our south. Additional disturbances will likely maintain
rain chances through the weekend into early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-040730-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
118 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Type None None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 27 58 38 53
Max/Min RH (%) 100 50 97 78
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.55
Precip Duration 1 11
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 47/1000 1700 Continued
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 990
Transport Wind (mph) NW 10 NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24000 16800
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 27 Fair 8 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 6 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 3 5 5
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 84 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows around 40.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 78 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Maximum RH 89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 52 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-040730-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
118 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Type None None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 29 56 37 48
Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 96 79
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.60
Precip Duration 1 11
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 45/1000 1700 41/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2300 1100
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 20700 16800
ADI Early 3 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 27 Fair 8 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 6 8 7 5
Max LVORI Late 9 3 6 5
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 50. Minimum RH 81 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 50s. Minimum RH 74 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 20s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-040730-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
118 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Type None None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 40 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 30 58 40 54
Max/Min RH (%) 100 54 98 84
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.72
Precip Duration 1 11
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 47/1000 1700 Continued
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 990
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 N 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 17600 10000
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 23 Fair 5 Very Poor 13 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 7 9 6 6
Max LVORI Late 9 3 6 6
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 50s.
Minimum RH 88 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 54 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-040730-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
118 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Type None None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 29 56 38 49
Max/Min RH (%) 99 55 100 88
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.73
Precip Duration 1 11
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 45/1000 1700 41/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 1100
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 17600 13200
ADI Early 3 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 22 Fair 6 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9 5
Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 6
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability F B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs around
50. Minimum RH 84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA