Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
845
FNUS52 KILM 041323
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring dry weather today, but clouds will increase
in advance of a developing storm system to our south. Rain chances
will increase substantially Friday, and additional disturbances will
likely maintain rain chances through the weekend into early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-050230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 57 38 51
Min/Max RH (%) 54 100 83
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.57
Precip Duration 2 12
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 48/1100 1700 39/0700
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 1100
Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 16000 15400
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 23 Fair 9 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 9 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 5
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 2 Rain
Turner Stability B F D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs around 50. Minimum RH
90 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 74 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-050230-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 56 37 47
Min/Max RH (%) 55 100 84
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.54
Precip Duration 2 12
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 48/1100 1700 40/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 1300
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 16000 19500
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 20 Gen Poor 7 Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 9 7 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 5
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 2 Rain
Turner Stability B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 69 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Maximum RH 87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-050230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 57 41 53
Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 89
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.69
Precip Duration 3 12
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 48/1100 1700 44/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 1200
Transport Wind (mph) W 6 NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 12000 15600
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 18 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 9 7 5
Max LVORI Late 3 9 6
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 2 Rain
Turner Stability B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs around 50. Minimum RH
93 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 50. Minimum RH 75 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-050230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 100
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 56 39 48
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 91
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.60
Precip Duration 3 12
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 48/1100 1600 42/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 1200
Transport Wind (mph) W 7 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 13300 16800
ADI Early 11 Poor 3 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 17 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 9 9 5
Max LVORI Late 4 9 5
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 2 Rain
Turner Stability B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 40s. Minimum RH 69 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Maximum RH 90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA