Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
513
FNUS52 KILM 050609
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
109 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Soaking rainfall and cool temperatures arrive today as a storm
system moves along the Carolina coast. High rain chances will
continue through Saturday before becoming spottier early next
week. Dry weather is expected to develop by Tuesday with continued
below normal temperatures.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable
Type 1-D...Direction NE...Maximum Wind 20 mph at 1000 ft.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-051915-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
109 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 52 37 50
Min/Max RH (%) 82 100 86
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.57 0.29 0.20
Precip Duration 10 5 9
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 44/0600 Continued None
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1200 1500
Transport Wind (mph) N 12 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 14400 15000
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 7 Poor 11 Poor
ADI Late 16 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 6 9 8
Max LVORI Late 5 9 5
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 3 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 2 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability D F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Maximum RH 82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-051915-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
109 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 40 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 47 36 50
Min/Max RH (%) 88 100 77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.47 0.19 0.11
Precip Duration 9 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 43/0800 Continued None
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1200 1700
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 12000 17000
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 11 Poor
ADI Late 15 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 6 9 9
Max LVORI Late 5 9 5
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 3 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 2 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-051915-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
109 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 60 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 52 39 51
Min/Max RH (%) 87 100 90
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.56 0.30 0.30
Precip Duration 10 7 10
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 45/0600 Continued None
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1200 1500
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 12000 15000
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 10 Poor
ADI Late 14 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9
Max LVORI Late 7 9 6
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 3 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 1 Rain 2 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 51 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-051915-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
109 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 48 37 50
Min/Max RH (%) 93 100 82
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.49 0.22 0.19
Precip Duration 8 2 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 44/0600 1700 38/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1200 1700
Transport Wind (mph) N 9 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 10800 17000
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 11 Poor
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9
Max LVORI Late 7 9 5
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 3 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 2 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
74 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows around 40.
Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III