Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
852
FNUS52 KILM 120707
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
307 AM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A lingering front to our west will slowly dissipate through today.
Bermuda High pressure will build westward across the area and will
dominate the weather through early next week. Warm and humid
conditions will make at least scattered showers and storms
possible each day.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-122315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
307 AM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 70
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 70
Max/Min Temp 88 71 88
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 68
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.10 0.06 0.15
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 2800
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46800 39200
ADI Early 30 Fair 15 Gen Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 44 Gen Good 7 Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 6
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-122315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
307 AM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 80
Chance Thunder (%) 40 40 80
Max/Min Temp 89 71 88
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.08 0.09 0.23
Precip Duration 1 2 5
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 3400
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 47600
ADI Early 29 Fair 9 Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 44 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 6
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a chance
of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-122315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
307 AM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 20 70
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 70
Max/Min Temp 88 71 89
Min/Max RH (%) 62 100 69
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.07 0.04 0.11
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3100
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32400 43400
ADI Early 34 Fair 15 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a
chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-122315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
307 AM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 50 80
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 80
Max/Min Temp 89 70 88
Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.16 0.21 0.20
Precip Duration 1 2 5
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 3600
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51600 50400
ADI Early 30 Fair 8 Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms and a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a chance
of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ