Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
387
FNUS52 KILM 040548
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
148 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A few showers may move onshore today, but overall the weather is
expected to remain dry through the weekend into next week. A
warming trend is expected through mid-week then a cold front may
result in cooler temperatures for the end of the week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-041900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
148 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 81 61 82
Min/Max RH (%) 59 99 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 E 5 NE 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 7 NE 4 E 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4700
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57400 75200
ADI Early 37 Fair 8 Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 50 Gen Good 7 Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-041900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
148 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 81 60 83
Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/1000 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49000 67200
ADI Early 35 Fair 5 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 6
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 60 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-041900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
148 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 81 62 82
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G17 E 5 G18 NE 6 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 8 G18 NE 4 E 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/1000 1900 72/1000
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4300
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65600 77400
ADI Early 39 Fair 12 Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 8 Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
70 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-041900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
148 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 81 60 83
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 E 4 NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 1900 70/1000
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4600
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59800 73600
ADI Early 34 Fair 8 Poor 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 8 Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 2 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 61 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...29