Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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845
FNUS52 KILM 041323
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring dry weather today, but clouds will increase
in advance of a developing storm system to our south. Rain chances
will increase substantially Friday, and additional disturbances will
likely maintain rain chances through the weekend into early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-050230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           100
Chance Thunder (%)    0            0            0
Max/Min Temp          57           38           51
Min/Max RH (%)        54           100          83
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.57
Precip Duration                    2            12
Precip Begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  48/1100      1700         39/0700
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2000                      1100
Transport Wind (mph)  NW  8                     NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    16000                     15400
ADI Early             14 Gen Poor  4 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor
ADI Late              23 Fair      9 Poor       17 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early       9            6            5
Max LVORI Late        3            6            5
Min VSBY Early        4 Fog        7            3 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            5 Rain       2 Rain
Turner Stability      B            F            D

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs around 50. Minimum RH
90 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 74 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-050230-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           100
Chance Thunder (%)    0            0            0
Max/Min Temp          56           37           47
Min/Max RH (%)        55           100          84
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.05         0.54
Precip Duration                    2            12
Precip Begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  48/1100      1700         40/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2000                      1300
Transport Wind (mph)  W  8                      E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    16000                     19500
ADI Early             14 Gen Poor  3 Very Poor  21 Fair
ADI Late              20 Gen Poor  7 Poor       18 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early       9            7            5
Max LVORI Late        3            6            5
Min VSBY Early        4 Fog        7            2 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            6 Rain       2 Rain
Turner Stability      B            F            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 69 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Maximum RH 87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-050230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           100
Chance Thunder (%)    0            0            0
Max/Min Temp          57           41           53
Min/Max RH (%)        56           100          89
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.69
Precip Duration                    3            12
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  48/1100      1700         44/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2000                      1200
Transport Wind (mph)  W  6                      NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    12000                     15600
ADI Early             13 Gen Poor  3 Very Poor  15 Gen Poor
ADI Late              18 Gen Poor  6 Very Poor  15 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early       9            7            5
Max LVORI Late        3            9            6
Min VSBY Early        4 Fog        7            3 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            5 Rain       2 Rain
Turner Stability      B            F            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs around 50. Minimum RH
93 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 50. Minimum RH 75 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-050230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
823 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            70           100
Chance Thunder (%)    0            0            0
Max/Min Temp          56           39           48
Min/Max RH (%)        59           100          91
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.08         0.60
Precip Duration                    3            12
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  48/1100      1600         42/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       1900                      1200
Transport Wind (mph)  W  7                      E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    13300                     16800
ADI Early             11 Poor      3 Very Poor  17 Gen Poor
ADI Late              17 Gen Poor  6 Very Poor  15 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early       9            9            5
Max LVORI Late        4            9            5
Min VSBY Early        4 Fog        7            3 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            5 Rain       2 Rain
Turner Stability      B            F            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 40s. Minimum RH 69 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Maximum RH 90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...TRA