Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
423
FNUS52 KILM 141910
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
310 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will build westward across the area and
dominate the weather through the middle of next week. Warm and
humid conditions will make at least scattered showers and storms
possible each day.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-151115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
310 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 50 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 50 70
Min/Max Temp 72 88 72 89
Max/Min RH (%) 94 68 100 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 6 SW 7 G17 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 8 G18 SW 6 SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.13 0.08 0.06 0.17
Precip Duration 2 2 5 7
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0700 2000 75/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66600 68000
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 51 Gen Good 25 Fair 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 55 Gen Good 12 Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-151115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
310 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 60 80
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 50 80
Min/Max Temp 72 89 72 89
Max/Min RH (%) 96 66 99 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 5 S 6 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 7 SW 4 SW 5
Precip Amount 0.03 0.04 0.13 0.18
Precip Duration 2 2 6 6
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/0800 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79900 78200
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 49 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 65 Good 9 Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-151115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
310 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 40 70
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 40 70
Min/Max Temp 72 89 73 90
Max/Min RH (%) 95 65 98 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 5 S 7 G17 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 7 G17 SW 5 SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.11 0.03 0.03 0.07
Precip Duration 2 2 2 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0800 1900 75/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69700 75200
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 56 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 62 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 63 Good 11 Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 3 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-151115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
310 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 50 70
Min/Max Temp 72 89 72 90
Max/Min RH (%) 96 63 98 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 7 SW 5 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.05
Precip Duration 1 2 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0800 2000 74/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88200 85000
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good 23 Fair 71 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 73 Good 10 Poor 86 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 6 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...CRM