044
FXUS61 KILN 100443
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1243 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will shift slowly east through the weekend. This will
lead to dry conditions and seasonable temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Weak return flow will develop across the region today as surface
high pressure shifts east into the northeastern US. With a dry
airmass in place, expect mostly sunny skies again today.
Temperatures will be a tad warmer with afternoon highs in the upper
60s to lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
A mid level low pressure will drop slowly southeast across the Great
Lakes tonight into Saturday while an associated weak surface low
weakens as it moves into northern Ohio. With a lack of deeper
moisture, the main effect with this system will likely just be an
increase in some clouds later tonight and into the day on Saturday.
Lows tonight will generally be in the 40s with highs on Saturday
again in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The closed low will be moving off toward northeast Ohio at the start
of the extended and will be in the process of being absorbed by a
broader area of low pressure off of the Atlantic coastline. Closer
to the surface, a weak cold front will be pulled through the region,
though sensible impacts will be minor and any isolated showers will
taper off by the overnight. Overnight lows fall to the mid 40s.

Meanwhile, to our northwest, a robust area of low pressure will be
moving through southern Canada, allowing for continued warm air
advection. Temperatures on Sunday rise to the low/mid 70s but we`ll
feel more warmth on Monday/Tuesday, when we reach the upper 70s
while Tds reach the mid 50s again. The cold front associated with
this system will be dragged across the Ohio Valley sometime on
Tuesday into Wednesday, though moisture is quite limited and we
likely won`t see any precipitation with its passage. Behind this
feature, strong continental high pressure pushes in from Canada and
temperatures look to moderate back closer to seasonal norms in the
upper 60s. Overall, the warmer and dry pattern looks to continue for
the Extended period.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure will shift slowly off to the east through tonight as
an upper level disturbance drops southeast across the Great Lakes.
With a dry airmass in place, expect mainly just a gradual increase
in high level moisture through the TAF period. The one exception
could be some river valley fog at KLUK toward daybreak.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for OHZ026-034-035-
     042>046-051>056-060>065-070>072.
KY...None.
IN...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for INZ050-058-059-066.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...