Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
480 FXUS61 KILN 101702 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 102 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will shift slowly east through the weekend. This will lead to dry conditions and seasonable temperatures. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Surface high pressure centered off the New England coast will provide a light southerly flow this afternoon into tonight. Meanwhile, a compact closed mid- level low will traverse the upper Great Lakes. The atmosphere will remain dry through the column with little moisture advection at any level. Temperatures will be near seasonal norms. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... As the closed low exits off to the northeast, a very weak surface front will move through the middle and upper Ohio Valley. This will shift winds to a northerly direction. However, with heights on the rise, it`s tough to call it a cold front. Temperatures will actually begin a slow warming trend from the chilly values to close the work week. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Mid-level ridging centered over the southern plains will continue to nose into the Ohio Valley as we head into next work week. In the resulting northwest flow, a couple of weak disturbances will move across the Great Lakes. Since our air mass still remains disconnected from any source of deeper moisture, dry weather is likely to persist. Suppose we could see increasing mid- and high- level clouds Wednesday associated with a weak cold front. High temperatures will reach the low to mid 70s Sunday through Tuesday, then drop into the upper 60s to low 70s Wednesday through Friday. && .AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... VFR conditions will continue through the period. Increasing clouds will likely cause a bit less river valley fog at LUK late tonight... so only have a temporary MVFR condition there. A dry front will bring a wind shift from light southerly to light northerly on Saturday. OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...