721
FXUS61 KILN 261036
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
636 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry conditions will continue through the week.

2) The potential for rain returns for the latter part of the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
Mid level ridge extending from the lower Mississippi Valley into the
Great Lakes will gradually get suppressed, first by a trough moving
across Canada and then as a series of short waves move out of the
Plains. This will lead to generally zonal flow for the latter part of
the week, with perhaps a bit of short wave ridging heading into the
weekend ahead of an approaching system.

A weak boundary will drop south across the area later today into this
evening. This will wash out tomorrow night into Wednesday with high
pressure reasserting itself. Another front may lay out across the
Great Lakes and sag into the area later in the week. There could be
an increase in moisture near this second front which would lead to
more clouds. Until then, low to mid levels will remain dry, but there
should be more extensive cirrus.

Temperatures will remain above normal.

KEY MESSAGE 2)
Ensemble systems are in reasonably good agreement that a short wave
will move across the area on Sunday, although there are considerable
differences on what type of surface reflection this may result in.
Nonetheless, deeper moisture is forecast to accompany this resulting
in the first chance of rain in two weeks. This could develop into the
area later Saturday night, but the better chance is Sunday into
Sunday night.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Scattered to broken cirrus will move across the area through the
period. Valley fog will cause visibility reductions at KLUK again
late in the period. Winds will become west southwest at less than 10
kt and then return to light and variable after 00Z.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...35
AVIATION...35