546
FXUS61 KILN 111604
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1104 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A clipper will bring snow to the area tonight with the highest
totals near the Tri State. Another system will bring snow to the
area on Saturday evening as arctic air settles into the region from
Saturday night through Monday. Temperatures moderate next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A clipper type system will move through the Ohio Valley tonight into
Friday morning. Widespread snowfall will occur as the system moves
across the area. The onset of snow in eastern Indiana, northern
Kentucky, and western Ohio is likely after 8pm this evening before
overspreading east tonight. Snow slowly ends around the morning rush
hour on Friday. CAM and global ensemble guidance continues to
highlight the largest snowfall totals likely occurring in a band
just southwest of the Tri-State. In these parts of northern Kentucky
and eastern Indiana, upwards of 4 inches of snow are possible by
sunrise Friday. Snowfall totals dropoff as you go northeast of the
Tri State tapering toward the 1" range around Wilmington to an inch
or less as you move toward Columbus and locations north of Dayton.
Some places in the far north and east may not see much, if any,
appreciable snow at all. Travel impacts are likely to be maximized
southwest of the Cincinnati metro. However, the Cincinnati area
commute likely experiences some degree of impact. A Winter Weather
Advisory has been issued for locations where snowfall and at least
some degree of travel impacts are expected tonight into Friday
morning.

Temperatures will rise to near or slightly above freezing during the
day on Friday. These warmer temperatures should aid with road
treatments and improving travel conditions through the day after
snowfall ends. Sky conditions remain cloudy with variable northerly
winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
A brief dry period is expected to occur Friday night through mid day
Saturday before the next system moves in from the northwest. By late
Saturday afternoon and early Saturday evening, a widespread area of
snow moves in from the northwest before ending early Sunday morning.
Snowfall totals of 2-4 inches are supported by ensemble guidance
with the possibility of higher band setting up somewhere south of I-
70. This snowfall guidance may end up being on the lower end since
snow ratios are likely to be greater than the assumed 10:1 in the
probabilistic guidance due to the saturation overlapping a favorable
thermal profile with cold air moving in. It should be noted, with
temperatures tumbling as the snow tapers off and winds increasing,
travel impacts from this second round of snow may last longer and be
more substantial when compared to the recent events this season.
Forecast lows Saturday night drop off to the single digits with wind
chills below zero area wide. The combination of snow, wind, and cold
will make Saturday night an unfavorable time to be outside or
traveling.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High pressure builds into the region on Sunday. Very cold air will
be in place east side of the high under northerly flow throughout
the day. Forecast highs only reach into the teens with wind chills
remaining near or below zero all day. Forecast lows on Sunday night
drop below zero west of I-75 and are in the single digits east of I-
75. Wind chills won`t be as cold Sunday night since winds will go
calm as the high passes overhead. Preparations for very cold
conditions should be made for the Saturday night through Monday
morning timeframe.

On Monday, the surface high shifts east. With the surface high to
the east, temperatures moderate through midweek thanks to developing
southerly flow. Rain chances return by Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A mixture of VFR and MVFR ceilings persist through the afternoon
into the early evening. After 0300z, snow moves in from the west.
IFR and LIFR ceilings are likely at KCVG/KLUK which is where the
heaviest snow is forecast tonight. IFR ceilings are likely at KDAY
and KILN along with MVFR/IFR visibilities which is where light snow
is forecast. KCMH/KLCK may only experience MVFR ceiling and
visibility reductions with brief,light periods of snow as the shield
of precipitation may remain to the southwest. Snow quickly pulls
east around 1200z Friday. The rest of Friday has VFR visibilities
after the snow ends with ceilings improving to the MVFR category.

Light westerly winds remain in place through 0000z. Winds become
light and varaibale tonight and persist for the rest of the TAF
period.

OUTLOOK...Snow with MVFR to IFR conditions possible through Saturday
night.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday
     for OHZ070>073-077>082-088.
KY...Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday
     for KYZ089>100.
IN...Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday
     for INZ058-059-066-073>075-080.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...