951
FNUS71 KILN 061250
FWSILN

Spot Forecast for Chaparral RX Fire...ODNR
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
750 AM EST Thu Nov 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on November 06.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will result in light winds. Relative humidity could
drop into the upper 20s this afternoon, but confidence in that
possibility was too low. So the forecast only lowers relative
humidity into the lower 30s. An approaching cold front will bring
showers on Friday, but not until later in the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 2 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 2 to 3 mph late in the morning, then
                    shifting to the north 3 to 5 mph late in the
                    morning shifting to the southeast 3 to 6 mph
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  10  12  5   4   4   5   10  13  8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............37  43  48  52  54  57  57  57  58  55
RH..............79  66  56  46  40  34  34  34  33  37
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.        4   4   5   4   5   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 2.8 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SE  N   N   NW  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   5   5   3   3   5   5   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph with
                    gusts to around 16 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 17 mph early in the morning.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  18  18  29  21  15  16  16  43  48  55  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  49  45  44  43  43  41  42  42  43  45  47
RH..............41  50  55  59  58  59  64  62  62  62  61  66
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   8   10  10  10  11  12  14  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   10  10  12  13  13  13  15  17

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    in the morning. Rain in the afternoon. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 21 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph decreasing to 18 to 21
                    mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  82  84  86  88  90  92  94  94  94  94  94
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....    RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   50  50  50  50  50  50  90  90  90  90  90
Temp............48  50  52  56  60  63  64  64  64  64  63  62
RH..............71  76  80  78  73  70  69  71  73  76  77  80
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  11  12  13  13  13  13  13  12  11  10
20 FT wind gust.17  18  19  20  21  21  21  21  20  19  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.18  20  22  24  29  29  31  32  29  24  21  18

$$
Forecaster...NWS
Requested by...Josh Deemer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525275.0/ILN
.DELDT 11/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshwa.deemer@dnr.state.oh.us